Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
109:118
14/01/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaESPN
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 2
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
franceFrancebeIN Sports 1
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 4
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dallas Mavericks
52.9%
Denver Nuggets
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2% 53.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dallas Mavericks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dallas Mavericks's performance.
  • Denver Nuggets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denver Nuggets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dallas Mavericks that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denver Nuggets than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denver Nuggets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dallas Mavericks - Denver Nuggets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (2.2)

    2.06
    (1.68)
    4.1%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 224.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Dallas Mavericks - Denver Nuggets?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 211.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 2nd Half - Denver (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Half - Dallas (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Denver Nuggets will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.88%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Denver Nuggets will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Dallas (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Denver (votes: 19 - 90.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 114:111.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 3.
    • In recent matches, Dallas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Denver is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Denver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Davis A. (Finger Injury) Exum D. (Knee Injury) Irving K. (Knee Injury) Lively D. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Denver: Bates T. (Foot Injury) Braun C. (Ankle Injury) Johnson C. (Knee Injury) Jokic N. (Knee Injury) Valanciunas J. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Gafford D. (Ankle Injury) Washington P. J. (Ankle Injury) Williams B. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Denver: Murray J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2206:2235. (average 110.3:111.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1074:1058. (average 107.4:105.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dallas Mavericks - Denver Nuggets were as follows:
    23.12.2025 Dallas Mavericks - Denver Nuggets 131:130
    01.12.2025 Denver Nuggets - Dallas Mavericks 121:131
    14.01.2025 Dallas Mavericks - Denver Nuggets 99:118
    12.01.2025 Dallas Mavericks - Denver Nuggets 101:112
    22.11.2024 Denver Nuggets - Dallas Mavericks 120:123
    Latest results of Dallas Mavericks
    Latest results of Denver Nuggets
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder5945147045:63560.763
    2San Antonio Spurs5741166753:63760.719
    3Houston Rockets5635216412:61240.625
    4Denver Nuggets5836227008:67450.621
    5Minnesota Timberwolves5936237056:67930.610
    6Los Angeles Lakers5734236588:66090.596
    7Phoenix Suns5933266614:65710.559
    8Golden State Warriors5830286701:66040.517
    9Portland Trail Blazers5928316830:69820.475
    10Los Angeles Clippers5727306389:64160.474
    11Memphis Grizzlies5621356466:65990.375
    12Dallas Mavericks5721366521:67060.368
    13Utah Jazz5818406842:73000.310
    14New Orleans Pelicans5917426774:71020.288
    15Sacramento Kings5913466507:71390.220


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons5642146569:61270.750
    2Boston Celtics5738196553:61310.667
    3New York Knicks5937226909:65920.627
    4Cleveland Cavaliers5937227051:67870.627
    5Toronto Raptors5834246597:64850.586
    6Philadelphia 76ers5832266761:67240.552
    7Orlando Magic5731266560:65330.544
    8Miami Heat5931287078:69070.525
    9Atlanta Hawks6029317017:70800.483
    10Charlotte Hornets5928316837:66930.475
    11Milwaukee Bucks5625316286:64620.446
    12Chicago Bulls5924356832:71060.407
    13Washington Wizards5716416397:69970.281
    14Brooklyn Nets5715426094:65460.263
    15Indiana Pacers5915446580:70350.254

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