Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
134:128
05/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
hungaryHungarySport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 2
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
8891
Field goals made
4647
Field goals %
52.27%51.65%
2-point field goals attempts
5664
2-point field goals made
3239
2-point field goals %
57.14%60.94%
3-point field goals attempts
3227
3-point field goals made
148
3-point field goals %
43.75%29.63%
Free throws attempts
3633
Free throws made
2826
Free throws %
77.8%78.8%
Offensive rebounds
811
Defensive rebounds
3038
Total rebounds
3849
Assists
2736
Blocks
51
Turnovers
712
Steals
116
Personal fouls
2223
Technical fouls
20

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dallas Mavericks
47.5%
Los Angeles Lakers
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 63%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dallas Mavericks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dallas Mavericks's performance.
  • Los Angeles Lakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Lakers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dallas Mavericks that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Lakers than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Lakers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Lakers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (3.21)

    1.84
    (1.37)
    3.6%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 234.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Lakers?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). LA Lakers will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for LA Lakers: 54.1%91.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. LA Lakers (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 116:118.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • LA Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 2.
    • Recent form of Dallas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • LA Lakers is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • LA Lakers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Irving K. (Knee Injury) Lively D. (Foot Injury) Martin Ca. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in LA Lakers: Doncic L. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Bagley M. (Shoulder Injury) Smith T. (Back Injury) Washington P. J. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in LA Lakers: Reaves A. (Lower Back Injury) Smart M. (Ankle Injury) Vanderbilt J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2191:2177. (average 109.6:108.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1195:1166. (average 108.6:106).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Lakers were as follows:
    12.02.2026 Los Angeles Lakers - Dallas Mavericks 124:104
    24.01.2026 Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Lakers 110:116
    28.11.2025 Los Angeles Lakers - Dallas Mavericks 129:119
    15.10.2025 Los Angeles Lakers - Dallas Mavericks 94:121
    10.07.2025 Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Lakers 87:85
    Latest results of Dallas Mavericks
    Latest results of Los Angeles Lakers
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7862169299:83870.795
    2San Antonio Spurs ✔ 7960199457:87960.759
    3Denver Nuggets ✔ 7951289619:92440.646
    4Los Angeles Lakers ✔ 7850289102:89900.641
    5Houston Rockets ✔ 7849298953:85770.628
    6Minnesota Timberwolves7846329164:89070.590
    7Phoenix Suns7843358807:86820.551
    8Los Angeles Clippers ✔ 7840388891:87790.513
    9Portland Trail Blazers ✔ 7940399130:91740.506
    10Golden State Warriors ✔ 7836428957:89810.462
    11Dallas Mavericks7825538879:93150.321
    12New Orleans Pelicans7925549073:94290.316
    13Memphis Grizzlies7925549082:94810.316
    14Utah Jazz7921589251:99450.266
    15Sacramento Kings7921588763:95720.266


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons ✔ 7957229269:86560.722
    2Boston Celtics ✔ 7853258942:83470.679
    3New York Knicks ✔ 7951289229:87190.646
    4Cleveland Cavaliers ✔ 7950299447:91070.633
    5Atlanta Hawks7945349357:91490.570
    6Toronto Raptors7843358920:87460.551
    7Charlotte Hornets7943369201:87900.544
    8Orlando Magic7943369124:91030.544
    9Philadelphia 76ers7943369169:92040.544
    10Miami Heat7841379419:92370.526
    11Milwaukee Bucks7831478640:91140.397
    12Chicago Bulls7829499058:94820.372
    13Brooklyn Nets7819598287:90310.244
    14Indiana Pacers7818608777:94180.231
    15Washington Wizards7817618818:97220.218

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Antonio Spurs is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Denver Nuggets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Houston Rockets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles Clippers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Portland Trail Blazers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Golden State Warriors is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Detroit Pistons is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boston Celtics is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York Knicks is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cleveland Cavaliers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)