Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
134:128
05/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
hungaryHungarySport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 2
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
8891
Field goals made
4647
Field goals %
52.27%51.65%
2-point field goals attempts
5664
2-point field goals made
3239
2-point field goals %
57.14%60.94%
3-point field goals attempts
3227
3-point field goals made
148
3-point field goals %
43.75%29.63%
Free throws attempts
3633
Free throws made
2826
Free throws %
77.8%78.8%
Offensive rebounds
811
Defensive rebounds
3038
Total rebounds
3849
Assists
2736
Blocks
51
Turnovers
712
Steals
116
Personal fouls
2223
Technical fouls
20

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dallas Mavericks
47.5%
Los Angeles Lakers
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 63%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dallas Mavericks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dallas Mavericks's performance.
  • Los Angeles Lakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Lakers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dallas Mavericks that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Lakers than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Lakers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Lakers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (3.21)

    1.84
    (1.37)
    3.6%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 234.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Lakers?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). LA Lakers will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for LA Lakers: 54.1%91.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LA Lakers (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 116:118.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • LA Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 2.
    • Recent form of Dallas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • LA Lakers is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • LA Lakers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Irving K. (Knee Injury) Lively D. (Foot Injury) Martin Ca. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in LA Lakers: Doncic L. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Bagley M. (Shoulder Injury) Smith T. (Back Injury) Washington P. J. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in LA Lakers: Reaves A. (Lower Back Injury) Smart M. (Ankle Injury) Vanderbilt J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2191:2177. (average 109.6:108.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1195:1166. (average 108.6:106).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Lakers were as follows:
    12.02.2026 Los Angeles Lakers - Dallas Mavericks 124:104
    24.01.2026 Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Lakers 110:116
    28.11.2025 Los Angeles Lakers - Dallas Mavericks 129:119
    15.10.2025 Los Angeles Lakers - Dallas Mavericks 94:121
    10.07.2025 Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Lakers 87:85
    Latest results of Dallas Mavericks
    Latest results of Los Angeles Lakers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Phoenix Suns (8)4 : 0
    2Los Angeles Lakers (4)Houston Rockets (5)3 : 1
    3San Antonio Spurs (2)Portland Trail Blazers (7)3 : 1
    4Denver Nuggets (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)2 : 3
    5Detroit Pistons (1)Orlando Magic (8)1 : 3
    6Cleveland Cavaliers (4)Toronto Raptors (5)2 : 2
    7Boston Celtics (2)Philadelphia 76ers (7)3 : 1
    8New York Knicks (3)Atlanta Hawks (6)2 : 2