Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
112:120
12/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9893
Field goals made
4145
Field goals %
41.84%48.39%
2-point field goals attempts
5061
2-point field goals made
2734
2-point field goals %
54%55.74%
3-point field goals attempts
4832
3-point field goals made
1411
3-point field goals %
29.17%34.38%
Free throws attempts
2224
Free throws made
1619
Free throws %
72.7%79.2%
Offensive rebounds
1421
Defensive rebounds
2439
Total rebounds
3860
Assists
2524
Blocks
59
Turnovers
1020
Steals
108
Personal fouls
1817
Technical fouls
01

Highlights

Chances of winning


Memphis Grizzlies
34%
Dallas Mavericks
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 59.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Memphis Grizzlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Memphis Grizzlies's form might have worsened.
  • Dallas Mavericks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dallas Mavericks's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis Grizzlies than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Memphis Grizzlies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dallas Mavericks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Memphis Grizzlies - Dallas Mavericks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.43)

    1.45
    (1.56)
    4.2%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 238.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Memphis Grizzlies - Dallas Mavericks?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Memphis will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Dallas will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Memphis: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +5.5, OT - Memphis (1.83) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 236.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Memphis Grizzlies will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Memphis (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Dallas (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 116:122.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 and 13)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Memphis won 5.
    • Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.
    • Memphis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Dallas has had a series of away games.
    • Dallas could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Memphis: Aldama S. (Knee Injury) Caldwell-Pope K. (Finger Injury) Clarke B. (Calf Injury) Edey Z. (Ankle Injury) Morant J. (Elbow Injury) Pippen Jr S. (Toe Injury)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Irving K. (Knee Injury) Lively D. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Memphis: Clayton W. (Ankle Injury) Coward C. (Knee Injury) Gibson T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Jerome T. (Calf Injury) Spencer C. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dallas: Thompson K. (Rest)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Memphis won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2233:2147. (average 111.7:107.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Memphis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1129:1072. (average 112.9:107.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Memphis Grizzlies - Dallas Mavericks were as follows:
    27.02.2026 Dallas Mavericks - Memphis Grizzlies 105:124
    22.11.2025 Dallas Mavericks - Memphis Grizzlies 96:102
    07.11.2025 Memphis Grizzlies - Dallas Mavericks 118:104
    18.04.2025 Memphis Grizzlies - Dallas Mavericks 120:106
    13.04.2025 Memphis Grizzlies - Dallas Mavericks 132:97
    Latest results of Memphis Grizzlies
    Latest results of Dallas Mavericks
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
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    2Los Angeles Lakers (4)Houston Rockets (5)3 : 1
    3San Antonio Spurs (2)Portland Trail Blazers (7)3 : 1
    4Denver Nuggets (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)2 : 3
    5Detroit Pistons (1)Orlando Magic (8)1 : 3
    6Cleveland Cavaliers (4)Toronto Raptors (5)2 : 2
    7Boston Celtics (2)Philadelphia 76ers (7)3 : 1
    8New York Knicks (3)Atlanta Hawks (6)2 : 2