Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
115:114
05/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9786
Field goals made
4439
Field goals %
45.36%45.35%
2-point field goals attempts
5853
2-point field goals made
3125
2-point field goals %
53.45%47.17%
3-point field goals attempts
3933
3-point field goals made
1314
3-point field goals %
33.33%42.42%
Free throws attempts
1628
Free throws made
1422
Free throws %
87.5%78.6%
Offensive rebounds
1411
Defensive rebounds
3333
Total rebounds
4744
Assists
3128
Blocks
29
Turnovers
1213
Steals
106
Personal fouls
2117
Technical fouls
03

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando Magic
74%
Dallas Mavericks
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.3% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando Magic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Dallas Mavericks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Magic than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando Magic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dallas Mavericks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Orlando Magic - Dallas Mavericks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.32)

    3.71
    (3.61)
    3.6%
    (3.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 229.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
    What is the prediction for Orlando Magic - Dallas Mavericks?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Orlando will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -7.5, OT - Orlando (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 231, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Orlando (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5, OT - Orlando (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Orlando (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4, OT - Orlando (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Orlando (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5, OT - Orlando (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, OT - Orlando (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6, OT - Orlando (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5, OT - Orlando (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7, OT - Orlando (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando Magic will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando (votes: 15 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 119:111.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando won 0.
    • Orlando has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dallas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dallas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Orlando is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando: Black A. (Muscle Injury) Carter W. (Ankle Injury) Wagner F. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Bagley M. (Head Injury) Flagg C. (Foot Injury) Irving K. (Knee Injury) Lively D. (Foot Injury) Marshall N. (Finger Injury) Thompson K. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 2021:2151. (average 101.1:107.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1025:1052. (average 102.5:105.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando Magic - Dallas Mavericks were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Orlando Magic - Dallas Mavericks 69:92
    27.03.2025 Orlando Magic - Dallas Mavericks 92:101
    03.11.2024 Dallas Mavericks - Orlando Magic 108:85
    29.01.2024 Dallas Mavericks - Orlando Magic 131:129
    06.11.2023 Orlando Magic - Dallas Mavericks 102:117
    Latest results of Orlando Magic
    Latest results of Dallas Mavericks
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 6954158173:74320.783
    2San Antonio Spurs6951188213:77090.739
    3Los Angeles Lakers6843257905:78150.632
    4Houston Rockets6741267625:73540.612
    5Denver Nuggets6942278331:80290.609
    6Minnesota Timberwolves6942278171:79350.609
    7Phoenix Suns6939307756:76840.565
    8Los Angeles Clippers6834347715:76620.500
    9Golden State Warriors6833357837:77790.485
    10Portland Trail Blazers6933367939:80900.478
    11Memphis Grizzlies6723447744:79480.343
    12New Orleans Pelicans6923467979:82600.333
    13Dallas Mavericks6923467808:81570.333
    14Utah Jazz6820487974:84930.294
    15Sacramento Kings7018527751:84510.257


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons6849197984:74710.721
    2Boston Celtics6845237774:72810.662
    3New York Knicks7045258199:77420.643
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6942278221:79270.609
    5Toronto Raptors6738297613:74960.567
    6Orlando Magic6838307855:77650.559
    7Miami Heat6938318294:80650.551
    8Atlanta Hawks6837318012:79260.544
    9Philadelphia 76ers6937327954:80120.536
    10Charlotte Hornets6935347991:77440.507
    11Chicago Bulls6828407887:81610.412
    12Milwaukee Bucks6828407565:79020.412
    13Brooklyn Nets6817517247:78600.250
    14Washington Wizards6816527669:84180.235
    15Indiana Pacers6915547672:82900.217

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)