Damon Heta vs Daryl Gurney – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:6
21/03/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • European Tour 3 - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Damon Heta
58.2%
Daryl Gurney
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 49.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Damon Heta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Daryl Gurney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damon Heta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daryl Gurney than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daryl Gurney could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Damon Heta - Daryl Gurney Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.72)

    2.1
    (2.08)
    8.2%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
    Preview Facts
    • Heta is ranked World Ranking: 19. Gurney is ranked World Ranking: 24.
    • In recent matches, Heta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gurney is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Heta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Heta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2.
    Latest results of Damon Heta
    Latest results of Daryl Gurney
    Draw
    2026

    1/32-finals
    1Littler L.Bye
    2van Barneveld R.Krcmar B.1 : 6
    3De Decker M.Bye
    4Zonneveld N.Haavisto J.6 : 4
    5Noppert D.Bye
    6Woodhouse L.Devroey P. (Q)6 : 2
    7Searle R.Bye
    8Williams S.Evans R.2 : 6
    9Clayton J.Bye
    10Nijman W.Bialecki S.3 : 6
    11Smith R.Bye
    12Menzies C.Lap S.6 : 1
    13Bunting S.Bye
    14Cullen J.Baetens A. (Q)5 : 6
    15Schindler M.Bye
    16O'Connor W.Thorpe T.6 : 1
    17Humphries L.Bye
    18van Duijvenbode D.Wenig L.6 : 3
    19Wattimena J.Bye
    20Meikle R.Schweyen F. (Q)6 : 4
    21Rock J.Bye
    22Springer N.Huybrechts K. (Q)3 : 6
    23Dobey C.Bye
    24Chisnall D.Tricole T.6 : 2
    25van Gerwen M.Bye
    26Smith M.Mansell M.3 : 6
    27Heta D.Bye
    28Gurney D.White I.6 : 1
    29Wade J.Bye
    30Ratajski K.Reyes C.4 : 6
    31Aspinall N.Bye
    32Joyce R.Gawlas A.6 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1Littler L. (1)Krcmar B.6 : 2
    2De Decker M. (16)Zonneveld N.5 : 6
    3Noppert D. (8)Woodhouse L.6 : 3
    4Searle R. (9)Evans R.6 : 5
    5Clayton J. (4)Bialecki S.6 : 3
    6Smith R. (13)Menzies C.6 : 4
    7Bunting S. (5)Baetens A.4 : 6
    8Schindler M. (12)O'Connor W.6 : 3
    9Humphries L. (2)van Duijvenbode D.6 : 4
    10Wattimena J. (15)Meikle R.6 : 3
    11Rock J. (7)Huybrechts K.4 : 6
    12Dobey C. (10)Chisnall D.6 : 3
    13van Gerwen M. (3)Mansell M.6 : 4
    14Heta D. (14)Gurney D.3 : 6
    15Wade J. (6)Reyes C.2 : 6
    16Aspinall N. (11)Joyce R.3 : 6

    1/8-finals
    1Littler L. (1)Zonneveld N.5 : 6
    2Noppert D. (8)Searle R. (9)6 : 5
    3Clayton J. (4)Smith R. (13)6 : 5
    4Baetens A.Schindler M. (12)6 : 5
    5Humphries L. (2)Wattimena J. (15)6 : 1
    6Huybrechts K.Dobey C. (10)3 : 6
    7van Gerwen M. (3)Gurney D.6 : 5
    8Reyes C.Joyce R.5 : 6

    Quarter-finals
    1Zonneveld N.Noppert D. (8)6 : 3
    2Clayton J. (4)Baetens A.6 : 1
    3Humphries L. (2)Dobey C. (10)6 : 5
    4van Gerwen M. (3)Joyce R.6 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Zonneveld N.Clayton J. (4)6 : 7
    2Humphries L. (2)van Gerwen M. (3)

    Final
    1Clayton J. (4)TBD #2