Dan Martin vs Aidan Mayo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Newport Challenger Men Dan Martin - Aidan Mayo
Result
1:2
07/07/2025 at 17:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
110
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
71%56%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (41/72)82% (41/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
72% (21/29)48% (19/40)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
20% (10/50)43% (31/72)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (21/40)28% (8/29)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)36% (4/11)
Winners
3333
Unforced Errors
3538
Net Points Won
77% (10/13)69% (18/26)
Service Points Won
61% (62/101)67% (60/90)
Return Points Won
33% (30/90)39% (39/101)
Total Points Won
48% (92/191)52% (99/191)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
45% (14/31)55% (17/31)

Chances of winning


Dan Martin
18.6%
Aidan Mayo
81.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.7% 72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 73.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dan Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dan Martin's form might have worsened.
  • Aidan Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aidan Mayo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Martin than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dan Martin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aidan Mayo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aidan Mayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dan Martin - Aidan Mayo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.01
    (3.4)

    1.14
    (1.3)
    7.4%
    (6.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Martin is ranked ATP: 563. Mayo is ranked ATP: 299.
    • Martin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Mayo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mayo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mayo is considered a favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Dan Martin
    03.07.2025 Blaise Bicknell - Dan Martin Martin D. retired
    01.06.2025 Pranav Kumar - Dan Martin 2:0
    27.05.2025 Rudy Quan - Dan Martin Martin D. retired
    21.05.2025 Dan Martin - Renzo Olivo 1:2
    Latest results of Aidan Mayo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Holt B. (1)Cassone M.2 : 0
    2Vandecasteele Q. (Q)Svajda Z.0 : 2
    3Poling K. (Alt)Weightman O. (Q)1 : 2
    4Jasika O.Watanuki Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Schoolkate T. (3)Bolt A.2 : 0
    6McCabe J.Ayeni A. (Q)2 : 0
    7Martin D. (Alt)Mayo A.1 : 2
    8Zhu E. (WC)Spizzirri E. (5)0 : 2
    9Eubanks C. (6)Milavsky D. (WC)2 : 1
    10Zheng M. (WC)Tomic B.0 : 2
    11Hilderbrand T. (Q)Zink T.1 : 2
    12Uchiyama Y.Mannarino A. (4)0 : 2
    13Krueger M. (7)Kozlov S. (Alt)2 : 1
    14Kypson P.Ghibaudo A. (Q)0 : 2
    15McCormick T. (Q)Watt J. (LL)0 : 2
    16Maloney P.Duckworth J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Holt B. (1)Svajda Z.1 : 2
    2Weightman O.Watanuki Y. (8)0 : 2
    3Schoolkate T. (3)McCabe J. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Mayo A.Spizzirri E. (5)0 : 2
    5Eubanks C. (6)Tomic B.0 : 2
    6Zink T.Mannarino A. (4)0 : 2
    7Krueger M. (7)Ghibaudo A.1 : 2
    8Watt J.Maloney P.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Svajda Z.Watanuki Y. (8)2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T. (3)Spizzirri E. (5)1 : 2
    3Tomic B.Mannarino A. (4)1 : 2
    4Ghibaudo A.Watt J.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Svajda Z.Spizzirri E. (5)2 : 0
    2Mannarino A. (4)Ghibaudo A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Svajda Z.Mannarino A. (4)2 : 0