Dan Martin vs Alafia Ayeni – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Martin D. retired
17/02/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
23
1st serve percentage
68%65%
1st serve points won
66% (31/47)90% (18/20)
2nd serve points won
32% (7/22)64% (7/11)
Break Points Saved
86% (6/7)100% (1/1)
1st return points won
10% (2/20)34% (16/47)
2nd return points won
36% (4/11)68% (15/22)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/1)14% (1/7)
Winners
1824
Unforced errors
2315
Net points won
100% (4/4)86% (12/14)
Service Points Won
55% (38/69)81% (25/31)
Return Points Won
19% (6/31)45% (31/69)
Total Points Won
44% (44/100)56% (56/100)
Last 10 balls
19
Match points saved
00
Service games won
83% (5/6)100% (6/6)
Return games won
0% (0/6)17% (1/6)
Total games won
42% (5/12)58% (7/12)

Chances of winning


Dan Martin
47.8%
Alafia Ayeni
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dan Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dan Martin's form might have worsened.
  • Alafia Ayeni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alafia Ayeni's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dan Martin than the current prediction. (+14%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dan Martin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (-14%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alafia Ayeni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dan Martin - Alafia Ayeni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.6)

    1.82
    (2.19)
    6.1%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Dan Martin - Alafia Ayeni?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alafia Ayeni will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Martin is ranked ATP: 386. Ayeni is ranked ATP: 608.
    • Martin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ayeni is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Martin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Martin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Dan Martin
    Latest results of Alafia Ayeni
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Fishback R. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Nefve A. (Q)Sau Franco A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Rodrigues N. (Q)Tobon M. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Gomez J. S.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Galarneau A. (4)Hardt N.2 : 0
    6Baadi T.Kingsley C. (Q)0 : 2
    7Winter E.Dickerson R. (Alt)2 : 0
    8Aguilar J. C. M.Martin A. (7)0 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (8)McCormick T.2 : 1
    10Bicknell B.Poling K.1 : 2
    11Martin D. (RET.)Ayeni A. (Q)0 : 1
    12Dalmasso G. (Q)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    13Gojo B. (5)Mena F.2 : 1
    14Jones B. (Q)De Alba R. (WC)2 : 0
    15Brouwer G. (PR)Gima S.2 : 0
    16Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC)Tomic B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Nefve A.2 : 0
    2Rodrigues N.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    3Galarneau A. (4)Kingsley C.2 : 1
    4Winter E.Martin A. (7)2 : 1
    5Kozlov S. (8)Poling K.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A.Pacheco Mendez R. (3)1 : 2
    7Gojo B. (5)Jones B. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Brouwer G.Tomic B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Andrade A. (6)1 : 2
    2Galarneau A. (4)Winter E.2 : 1
    3Kozlov S. (8)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    4Gojo B. (5)Tomic B. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Andrade A. (6)Galarneau A. (4)1 : 2
    2Pacheco Mendez R. (3)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Galarneau A. (4)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2