Dan Martin vs Alafia Ayeni – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
611
Double Faults
311
1st serve percentage
69%56%
1st serve points won
64% (38/59)75% (42/56)
2nd serve points won
65% (17/26)45% (20/44)
Break Points Saved
5/88/12
1st return points won
25% (14/56)36% (21/59)
2nd return points won
55% (24/44)35% (9/26)
Break Points Converted
4/123/8
Winners
2739
Unforced errors
3040
Net points won
70% (7/10)58% (19/33)
Service Points Won
65% (55/85)62% (62/100)
Return Points Won
38% (38/100)35% (30/85)
Total Points Won
50% (93/185)50% (92/185)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
20
Service games won
79% (11/14)73% (11/15)
Return games won
27% (4/15)21% (3/14)
Total games won
52% (15/29)48% (14/29)

Chances of winning


Dan Martin
42%
Alafia Ayeni
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 58.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dan Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Alafia Ayeni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dan Martin than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Dan Martin - Alafia Ayeni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.08)

    1.61
    (1.69)
    7.2%
    (7.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Martin is ranked ATP: 386. Ayeni is ranked ATP: 567.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Martin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dan Martin - Alafia Ayeni were as follows:
    17.02.2026 Dan Martin - Alafia Ayeni Martin D. retired
    Latest results of Dan Martin
    Latest results of Alafia Ayeni
    17.02.2026 Dan Martin - Alafia Ayeni Martin D. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Huesler M.2 : 1
    2Pacheco Mendez R. (Alt)Ayeni A. (Q)2 : 0
    3Zhukayev B.Vandecasteele Q. (Q)0 : 2
    4Krueger M.Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    5Wong C. (4)Mejia N.0 : 2
    6Kozlov S.Martin A.0 : 2
    7Polmans M. (Q)Mena F. (Q)2 : 1
    8Crawford O.Rodesch C. (6)0 : 2
    9Mochizuki S. (5)Smith K. (Alt)2 : 1
    10Ficovich J. P.Alves M. (LL)2 : 0
    11Hernandez A. (WC)Andrade A.0 : 2
    12Catry R. (Q)Schoolkate T.0 : 2
    13Bu Y. (7)Wiskandt M. (LL)2 : 0
    14Galarneau A.Tobon M. (Q)2 : 1
    15Magadan A. (WC)Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC)2 : 0
    16Pavlovic L.Walton A. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Pacheco Mendez R.0 : 2
    2Vandecasteele Q.Gojo B. (8)1 : 2
    3Mejia N.Martin A.2 : 0
    4Polmans M.Rodesch C. (6)0 : 2
    5Mochizuki S. (5)Ficovich J. P.1 : 2
    6Andrade A.Schoolkate T.0 : 2
    7Bu Y. (7)Galarneau A.0 : 2
    8Magadan A.Pavlovic L.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pacheco Mendez R.Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    2Mejia N.Rodesch C. (RET.) (6)0 : 0
    3Ficovich J. P.Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    4Galarneau A.Pavlovic L.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gojo B. (8)Mejia N.2 : 0
    2Ficovich J. P.Pavlovic L.2 : 1

    Final
    1Gojo B. (8)Ficovich J. P.2 : 0