NW Tasmania Thunder vs Dandenong Rangers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL1 South NW Tasmania Thunder - Dandenong Rangers
Result
103:112
19/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 South

Chances of winning


NW Tasmania Thunder
41.8%
Dandenong Rangers
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 51%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NW Tasmania Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NW Tasmania Thunder's form might have worsened.
  • Dandenong Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dandenong Rangers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NW Tasmania Thunder than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NW Tasmania Thunder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong Rangers than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dandenong Rangers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • NW Tasmania Thunder - Dandenong Rangers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.88)

    1.61
    (1.78)
    7.1%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 183.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NW Tasmania won 3.
    • NW Tasmania has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Dandenong is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Dandenong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, NW Tasmania has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, NW Tasmania won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1140:1177. (average 81.4:84.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NW Tasmania won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 480:506. (average 80:84.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NW Tasmania Thunder - Dandenong Rangers were as follows:
    14.07.2024 Dandenong Rangers - NW Tasmania Thunder 81:75
    13.04.2024 NW Tasmania Thunder - Dandenong Rangers 71:101
    20.05.2023 Dandenong Rangers - NW Tasmania Thunder 92:95
    Latest results of NW Tasmania Thunder
    Latest results of Dandenong Rangers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Mt Gambier (2)Kilsyth (3)97 : 61
    4Sandringham Sabres (5)Hobart Chargers (8)111 : 98
    5Knox (1)Eltham (4)72 : 67
    8Melbourne Tigers (6)Ballarat (7)89 : 77

    Quarter-finals
    1Mt Gambier (2)Bye
    2Eltham (4)Sandringham Sabres (5)75 : 93
    3Knox (1)Bye
    4Kilsyth (3)Melbourne Tigers (6)83 : 84

    Semi-finals
    1Mt Gambier (2)Sandringham Sabres (5)87 : 95
    2Knox (1)Melbourne Tigers (6)86 : 89

    Final
    1Sandringham Sabres (5)Melbourne Tigers (6)