Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian NPL Victoria Avondale - Dandenong Thunder
28/06/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 20

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
58
Corner Kicks
105
Total shots
914
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
105
Goalkeeper Saves
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Tevere L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 64', 1 - 1, Uchida Y. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Avondale
58.6%
Draw
22.5%
Dandenong Thunder
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 24.5% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 23.6% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avondale's performance.
  • Dandenong Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dandenong Thunder might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avondale that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dandenong Thunder could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Avondale - Dandenong Thunder Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.92)
    4.14
    (3.72)
    4.91
    (3.24)
    7.5%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Avondale - Dandenong Thunder?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Avondale will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Dandenong Thunder will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avondale won 4.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Dandenong Thunder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Avondale is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Avondale will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Avondale won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:12. (average 2.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Avondale won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avondale - Dandenong Thunder were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Dandenong Thunder - Avondale 2:1
    20.07.2024 Avondale - Dandenong Thunder 2:1
    20.04.2024 Dandenong Thunder - Avondale 0:8
    08.07.2023 Avondale - Dandenong Thunder 5:1
    08.04.2023 Dandenong Thunder - Avondale 1:3
    Latest results of Avondale
    Latest results of Dandenong Thunder
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Avondale FC ✔ 24174359:263355
    2Heidelberg Utd ✔ 24174352:223055
    3Dandenong Thunder ✔ 24155455:292650
    4Oakleigh Cannons ✔ 24143754:322245
    5Preston Lions24125737:28941
    6Hume City24105937:38-135
    7Dandenong City24810641:37434
    8Green Gully2487938:39-131
    9South Melbourne24771029:38-928
    10St Albans24761144:47-327
    11Altona Magic24561319:37-1821
    12Port Melbourne Sharks24441622:58-3616
    13Melbourne Victory U21 ✔ 24431734:56-2215
    14Melbourne Knights ✔ 24431726:60-3415

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Avondale FC is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Heidelberg Utd is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Dandenong Thunder is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Oakleigh Cannons is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Melbourne Victory U21 is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
    Melbourne Knights is Relegated to Victoria Premier League