Green Gully vs Dandenong Thunder – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian NPL Victoria Green Gully - Dandenong Thunder
Result
3:1
16/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
75
Total shots
157
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 57', 0 - 1, Jalloh H. ,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Wynne D. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Crooks M. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Kifle E. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Green Gully
36%
Draw
24.9%
Dandenong Thunder
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 23.1% 46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 22.4% 47.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Green Gully has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Green Gully's performance.
  • Dandenong Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dandenong Thunder might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Green Gully that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dandenong Thunder could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Green Gully - Dandenong Thunder Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.97)
    3.7
    (3.96)
    2.36
    (1.99)
    8.6%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Green Gully won 1.
    • Green Gully has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dandenong Thunder is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Green Gully won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 2.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Green Gully won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:11. (average 3.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Green Gully - Dandenong Thunder were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Dandenong Thunder - Green Gully 2:1
    29.06.2024 Dandenong Thunder - Green Gully 1:1
    22.03.2024 Green Gully - Dandenong Thunder 1:1
    29.07.2023 Dandenong Thunder - Green Gully 1:0
    Latest results of Green Gully
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Avondale FC ✔ 24174359:263355
    2Heidelberg Utd ✔ 24174352:223055
    3Dandenong Thunder ✔ 24155455:292650
    4Oakleigh Cannons ✔ 24143754:322245
    5Preston Lions24125737:28941
    6Hume City24105937:38-135
    7Dandenong City24810641:37434
    8Green Gully2487938:39-131
    9South Melbourne24771029:38-928
    10St Albans24761144:47-327
    11Altona Magic24561319:37-1821
    12Port Melbourne Sharks24441622:58-3616
    13Melbourne Victory U21 ✔ 24431734:56-2215
    14Melbourne Knights ✔ 24431726:60-3415

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Avondale FC is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Heidelberg Utd is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Dandenong Thunder is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Oakleigh Cannons is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Melbourne Victory U21 is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
    Melbourne Knights is Relegated to Victoria Premier League