Result
0:1
22/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 86', 0 - 1, Dixon D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
South Melbourne
31.2% | Draw
27.1% | Dandenong Thunder
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Melbourne's form might have worsened.Dandenong Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dandenong Thunder's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Melbourne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dandenong Thunder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.19) |
3.36 ↓
(3.62) |
2.18 ↓
(2.73) |
9.9%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dandenong Thunder (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 4.
- South Melbourne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dandenong Thunder has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- South Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Dandenong Thunder is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:12. (average 2.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, South Melbourne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:3. (average 2.7:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has South Melbourne won against Dandenong Thunder?
South Melbourne has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dandenong Thunder won against South Melbourne?
Dandenong Thunder has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder were as follows:
15.03.2025
Dandenong Thunder
-
South Melbourne
1:0
07.07.2024
South Melbourne
-
Dandenong Thunder
1:0
06.04.2024
Dandenong Thunder
-
South Melbourne
1:2
11.06.2023
South Melbourne
-
Dandenong Thunder
2:1
11.03.2023
Dandenong Thunder
-
South Melbourne
0:1
Latest results of South Melbourne
Latest results of Dandenong Thunder
Australian NPL Victoria Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Avondale FC ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 59:26 | 33 | 55 |
| 2 | Heidelberg Utd ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 55 |
| 3 | Dandenong Thunder ✔ | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 55:29 | 26 | 50 |
| 4 | Oakleigh Cannons ✔ | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 54:32 | 22 | 45 |
| 5 | Preston Lions | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 41 |
| 6 | Hume City | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 35 |
| 7 | Dandenong City | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Green Gully | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 38:39 | -1 | 31 |
| 9 | South Melbourne | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | St Albans | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 27 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19:37 | -18 | 21 |
| 12 | Port Melbourne Sharks | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 22:58 | -36 | 16 |
| 13 | Melbourne Victory U21 ✔ | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 34:56 | -22 | 15 |
| 14 | Melbourne Knights ✔ | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 26:60 | -34 | 15 |
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Avondale FC is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Heidelberg Utd is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Dandenong Thunder is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Oakleigh Cannons is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Melbourne Victory U21 is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Knights is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
