Result
3:0
21/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 58', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 89', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Dandenong Thunder
40.9% | Draw
25.1% | South Melbourne
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dandenong Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dandenong Thunder's performance.South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Melbourne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (-16.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dandenong Thunder that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+18.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Melbourne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dandenong Thunder - South Melbourne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(3.61) |
3.73 ↓
(3.98) |
2.75 ↑
(1.79) |
6.9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dandenong Thunder won 2.
- Dandenong Thunder has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- South Melbourne is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Dandenong Thunder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dandenong Thunder won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:36. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dandenong Thunder won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Dandenong Thunder won against South Melbourne?
Dandenong Thunder has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has South Melbourne won against Dandenong Thunder?
South Melbourne has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dandenong Thunder - South Melbourne were as follows:
22.06.2025
South Melbourne
-
Dandenong Thunder
0:1
15.03.2025
Dandenong Thunder
-
South Melbourne
1:0
07.07.2024
South Melbourne
-
Dandenong Thunder
1:0
06.04.2024
Dandenong Thunder
-
South Melbourne
1:2
11.06.2023
South Melbourne
-
Dandenong Thunder
2:1
Latest results of Dandenong Thunder
Latest results of South Melbourne
Australian NPL Victoria Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Heidelberg Utd | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | South Melbourne | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 | Hume City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Bentleigh Greens | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Oakleigh Cannons | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Melbourne City U21 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Avondale FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | George Cross | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | Preston Lions | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | St Albans | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 7 |
| 11 | Dandenong Thunder | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Altona Magic | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Dandenong City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
