Result
0:1
22/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 86', 0 - 1, Dixon D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
South Melbourne
31.2% | Draw
27.1% | Dandenong Thunder
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Melbourne's form might have worsened.Dandenong Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dandenong Thunder's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Melbourne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dandenong Thunder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.19) |
3.36 ↓
(3.62) |
2.18 ↓
(2.73) |
9.9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dandenong Thunder (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - South Melbourne (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. South Melbourne (votes: 1 - 50%). Dandenong Thunder (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 4.
- South Melbourne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dandenong Thunder has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- South Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Dandenong Thunder is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:12. (average 2.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, South Melbourne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:3. (average 2.7:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has South Melbourne won against Dandenong Thunder?
South Melbourne has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dandenong Thunder won against South Melbourne?
Dandenong Thunder has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder were as follows:
15.03.2025
Dandenong Thunder
-
South Melbourne
1:0
07.07.2024
South Melbourne
-
Dandenong Thunder
1:0
06.04.2024
Dandenong Thunder
-
South Melbourne
1:2
11.06.2023
South Melbourne
-
Dandenong Thunder
2:1
11.03.2023
Dandenong Thunder
-
South Melbourne
0:1
Latest results of South Melbourne
Latest results of Dandenong Thunder
Australian NPL Victoria Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | George Cross | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Oakleigh Cannons | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | South Melbourne | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Heidelberg Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Hume City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Bentleigh Greens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Melbourne City U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Preston Lions | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 3 |
| 9 | Avondale FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Altona Magic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Dandenong Thunder | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | St Albans | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 13 | Dandenong City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
