Dandenong Thunder vs St Albans Saints – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian NPL Victoria Dandenong Thunder - St Albans Saints
Result
2:2
03/05/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
2314
Shots on target
1911
Corner Kicks
77
Total shots
2314
Shots on target
1911
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
77
Goalkeeper Saves
917

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Dekker W. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 62', 1 - 1, Byrns L. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Uchida Y. ,
  • 75', 2 - 2, Gulevski J. ,

Chances of winning


Dandenong Thunder
56.3%
Draw
22.1%
St Albans Saints
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 22.7% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 21.4% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dandenong Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dandenong Thunder's performance.
  • St Albans Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St Albans Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans Saints than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Dandenong Thunder - St Albans Saints Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.81)
    4.18
    (4)
    4.28
    (3.37)
    8.2%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dandenong Thunder won 3.
    • Dandenong Thunder is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • St Albans is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • St Albans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Dandenong Thunder is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Dandenong Thunder will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dandenong Thunder won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dandenong Thunder won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dandenong Thunder - St Albans Saints were as follows:
    28.07.2024 St Albans Saints - Dandenong Thunder 1:0
    27.04.2024 Dandenong Thunder - St Albans Saints 3:0
    27.05.2023 St Albans Saints - Dandenong Thunder 0:4
    25.02.2023 Dandenong Thunder - St Albans Saints 4:4
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Avondale FC ✔ 24174359:263355
    2Heidelberg Utd ✔ 24174352:223055
    3Dandenong Thunder ✔ 24155455:292650
    4Oakleigh Cannons ✔ 24143754:322245
    5Preston Lions24125737:28941
    6Hume City24105937:38-135
    7Dandenong City24810641:37434
    8Green Gully2487938:39-131
    9South Melbourne24771029:38-928
    10St Albans24761144:47-327
    11Altona Magic24561319:37-1821
    12Port Melbourne Sharks24441622:58-3616
    13Melbourne Victory U21 ✔ 24431734:56-2215
    14Melbourne Knights ✔ 24431726:60-3415

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Avondale FC is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Heidelberg Utd is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Dandenong Thunder is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Oakleigh Cannons is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Melbourne Victory U21 is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
    Melbourne Knights is Relegated to Victoria Premier League