Result
3:1
02/09/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Laola1 |
 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
 Germany | Laola1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 60% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 74% (60/81) | 79% (63/80) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 34% (18/53) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 5/6 | 6/11 |
| Average 1st serve speed |
|---|
| 192 km/h | 192 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
|---|
| 167 km/h | 148 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 25% (20/80) | 26% (21/81) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 66% (35/53) | 45% (21/47) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/11 | 1/6 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 34 | 42 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 43 | 45 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 59% (13/22) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (86/128) | 61% (81/133) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (52/133) | 33% (42/128) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (138/261) | 47% (123/261) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 95% (19/20) | 75% (15/20) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 5% (1/20) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 60% (24/40) | 40% (16/40) |
| Distance covered (metres) |
|---|
| 2727 | 2469 |
Chances of winning
Daniel Merida Aguilar
42.4% | Andrey Rublev
57.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrey Rublev Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.48) |
|
1.65 ↑
(1.52) |
4.7%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 39.00
What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrey Rublev?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Rublev will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Merida Aguilar: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rublev (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 Sets - over (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
Preview Facts
- Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 39. Rublev is ranked ATP: 24.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Rublev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Andrey Rublev?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Andrey Rublev won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Andrey Rublev has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrey Rublev were as follows:
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Latest results of Andrey Rublev
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Sonego L. | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Halys Q. | Diaz Acosta F. | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Dimitrov G. (Q) | Popyrin A. | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Hanfmann Y. | Tabilo A. (25) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Darderi L. (21) | Wendelken H. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Svrcina D. (Q) | Royer V. | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Sweeny D. (WC) | Moutet C. (RET.) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Fery A. | Musetti L. (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Jodar R. (12) | Bu Y. (LL) | 0 : 3 |
| 10 | Marozsan F. | Zheng M. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Svajda Z. | Altmaier D. | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Cerundolo J. M. | Gea A. (LL) | 2 : 3 |
| 13 | Bergs Z. (31) | Taberner C. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | De Jong J. | Passaro F. (Q) | 3 : 2 |
| 15 | Choinski J. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Guerrieri A. (Q) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | Hijikata R. | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Burruchaga R. A. | Khachanov K. | 0 : 3 |
| 19 | Molcan A. | Bonzi B. | 1 : 3 |
| 20 | Giron M. | Buse I. (32) | 2 : 3 |
| 21 | Mensik J. (17) | Mochizuki S. (LL) | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Rodionov J. (Q) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 3 : 0 |
| 23 | Vallejo D. | Monfils G. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 24 | Borges N. | Tien L. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Fritz T. (9) | Blanch Dar. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Bellucci M. | Piros Z. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 27 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Struff J-L. | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Misolic F. | Cerundolo F. (24) | 0 : 3 |
| 29 | Blockx A. (28) | Barrios Vera T. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 30 | Shang J. | Trungelliti M. | 2 : 3 |
| 31 | Basavareddy N. (Q) | Schoolkate T. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 32 | Comesana F. | Cobolli F. (5) | 2 : 3 |
| 33 | Medvedev D. (7) | Gaston H. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 34 | Gorzny S. (WC) | Collignon R. | 3 : 2 |
| 35 | Munar J. | Atmane T. | 3 : 2 |
| 36 | Shimabukuro S. | Rinderknech A. (26) | 1 : 3 |
| 37 | Vacherot V. (22) | Kovacevic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 38 | Majchrzak K. | Medjedovic H. | 3 : 0 |
| 39 | Vukic A. | Sakamoto R. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 40 | Damm M. | Tiafoe F. (11) | 2 : 3 |
| 41 | Nakashima B. (16) | Baez S. | 3 : 0 |
| 42 | Michelsen A. | Cina F. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 43 | Merida Aguilar D. | Fucsovics M. | 3 : 0 |
| 44 | Virtanen O. (LL) | Rublev A. (23) | 2 : 3 |
| 45 | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | Kopriva V. | 3 : 0 |
| 46 | Landaluce M. | Fearnley J. (LL) | 2 : 3 |
| 47 | Berrettini M. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 48 | Navone M. | Djokovic N. (4) | 3 : 2 |
| 49 | Shelton B. (8) | Griekspoor T. | 3 : 1 |
| 50 | Dzumhur D. | Hurkacz H. | 1 : 3 |
| 51 | Kecmanovic M. | Shapovalov D. | 1 : 3 |
| 52 | van Assche L. | Norrie C. (29) | 3 : 1 |
| 53 | Lehecka J. (18) | Carreno-Busta P. | 3 : 1 |
| 54 | Samuel T. (Q) | Machac T. | 3 : 0 |
| 55 | Harris L. (Q) | Kennedy J. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 56 | Tsitsipas S. | Fils A. (10) | 3 : 1 |
| 57 | Bublik A. (15) | Wolf J.J. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 58 | Tirante T. A. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 3 |
| 59 | Prizmic D. | Shevchenko A. | 3 : 2 |
| 60 | Wong C. (Q) | Paul T. (20) | 1 : 3 |
| 61 | Arnaldi M. (30) | Duckworth J. | 1 : 3 |
| 62 | Wu Y. | Walton A. | 3 : 0 |
| 63 | Faria J. | Brooksby J. | 3 : 2 |
| 64 | Safiullin R. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Halys Q. | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Popyrin A. | Tabilo A. (25) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Darderi L. (21) | Svrcina D. | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Sweeny D. | Musetti L. (13) | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Bu Y. | Zheng M. | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Svajda Z. | Gea A. | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Bergs Z. (31) | De Jong J. | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Van De Zandschulp B. | De Minaur A. (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | Khachanov K. | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Bonzi B. | Buse I. (32) | 3 : 0 |
| 11 | Mensik J. (17) | Rodionov J. | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Monfils G. | Tien L. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 13 | Fritz T. (9) | Bellucci M. | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Struff J-L. | Cerundolo F. (24) | 2 : 3 |
| 15 | Blockx A. (28) | Trungelliti M. | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | Schoolkate T. | Cobolli F. (5) | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Gorzny S. | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Munar J. | Rinderknech A. (26) | 0 : 3 |
| 19 | Vacherot V. (22) | Majchrzak K. | 3 : 1 |
| 20 | Sakamoto R. | Tiafoe F. (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 21 | Nakashima B. (16) | Michelsen A. | 0 : 3 |
| 22 | Merida Aguilar D. | Rublev A. (23) | 3 : 1 |
| 23 | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | Fearnley J. | 3 : 1 |
| 24 | Berrettini M. | Navone M. | 1 : 3 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (8) | Hurkacz H. | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Shapovalov D. | van Assche L. | 3 : 0 |
| 27 | Lehecka J. (18) | Samuel T. | 3 : 0 |
| 28 | Harris L. | Tsitsipas S. | 1 : 3 |
| 29 | Bublik A. (15) | Mannarino A. | 3 : 0 |
| 30 | Prizmic D. | Paul T. (20) | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Duckworth J. | Wu Y. | 0 : 3 |
| 32 | Faria J. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Tabilo A. (25) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Darderi L. (21) | Sweeny D. | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Zheng M. | Gea A. | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bergs Z. (31) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Khachanov K. | Bonzi B. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Mensik J. (17) | Tien L. (14) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Fritz T. (9) | Cerundolo F. (24) | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Blockx A. (28) | Cobolli F. (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (7) | Rinderknech A. (26) | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Vacherot V. (22) | Tiafoe F. (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Michelsen A. | Merida Aguilar D. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | Navone M. | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Shelton B. (8) | Shapovalov D. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Lehecka J. (18) | Tsitsipas S. | 1 : 3 |
| 15 | Bublik A. (15) | Paul T. (20) | 2 : 3 |
| 16 | Wu Y. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Darderi L. (21) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Gea A. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Khachanov K. | Tien L. (14) | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Cerundolo F. (24) | Blockx A. (28) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (7) | Tiafoe F. (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | Michelsen A. | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Shelton B. (8) | Tsitsipas S. | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Paul T. (20) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Van De Zandschulp B. | |
| 2 | Khachanov K. | Blockx A. (28) | |
| 3 | Tiafoe F. (11) | Michelsen A. | |
| 4 | Shelton B. (8) | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
