Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Federico Cina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Modena Challenger Men Daniel Merida Aguilar - Federico Cina
Result
0:2
02/07/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Modena, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
61
1st Serve Percentage
69%65%
1st Serve Points Won
52% (16/31)84% (26/31)
2nd Serve Points Won
21% (3/14)47% (8/17)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)100% (5/5)
1st Return Points Won
16% (5/31)48% (15/31)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (9/17)79% (11/14)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/5)45% (5/11)
Winners
917
Unforced Errors
2915
Net Points Won
100% (2/2)89% (8/9)
Service Points Won
42% (19/45)71% (34/48)
Return Points Won
29% (14/48)58% (26/45)
Total Points Won
35% (33/93)65% (60/93)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
17% (1/6)100% (7/7)
Return Games Won
0% (0/7)83% (5/6)
Total Games Won
8% (1/13)92% (12/13)

Chances of winning


Daniel Merida Aguilar
57.6%
Federico Cina
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 50.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.
  • Federico Cina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Cina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Cina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar - Federico Cina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.9)

    2.2
    (1.82)
    7.1%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Federico Cina?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 235. Cina is ranked ATP: 279.
    • Merida Aguilar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Federico Cina
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Geerts M.2 : 0
    2Parenti L. (WC)Kym J.0 : 2
    3Cecchinato M. (WC)Monteiro T.2 : 1
    4Houkes M.Gomez F. A. (8)2 : 0
    5Seyboth Wild T. (4)Alcala Gurri M. (Q)2 : 0
    6Kodat T. (Q)Collarini A.2 : 1
    7Sakellaridis S. (Q)Bondioli F. (WC)2 : 0
    8Echargui M. (Q)Boyer T. (5)2 : 0
    9Burruchaga R. A. (7)Merida Aguilar D. (Alt)0 : 2
    10Cina F. (Alt)Poljicak M.2 : 1
    11Zahraj P.Diaz Acosta F.0 : 2
    12Dodig M. (NG)Cerundolo J. M. (3)0 : 2
    13Tirante T. A. (6)Buse I.2 : 0
    14Travaglia S. (Q)Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    15Pellegrino A.Thanos A. (Q)2 : 0
    16Arnaboldi F.Galan D. E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Kym J.1 : 2
    2Cecchinato M.Houkes M.2 : 0
    3Seyboth Wild T. (4)Kodat T.2 : 0
    4Sakellaridis S.Echargui M.2 : 1
    5Merida Aguilar D.Cina F.0 : 2
    6Diaz Acosta F.Cerundolo J. M. (3)0 : 2
    7Tirante T. A. (6)Travaglia S.1 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Galan D. E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Kym J.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Seyboth Wild T. (4)Sakellaridis S.2 : 1
    3Cina F.Cerundolo J. M. (3)2 : 1
    4Travaglia S.Pellegrino A.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Kym J.Seyboth Wild T. (4)1 : 2
    2Cina F.Travaglia S.1 : 2

    Final
    1Seyboth Wild T. (4)Travaglia S.0 : 2