Result
2:1
03/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 74% | 57% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (39/62) | 70% (35/50) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 41% (15/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 64% (7/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (15/50) | 37% (23/62) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (22/37) | 45% (10/22) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 43% (3/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (52/85) | 57% (50/88) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (38/88) | 39% (33/85) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (90/173) | 48% (83/173) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 69% (9/13) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 54% (14/26) | 46% (12/26) |
Chances of winning
Daniel Merida Aguilar 57.1% | George Loffhagen 42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.George Loffhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and George Loffhagen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for George Loffhagen than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that George Loffhagen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Daniel Merida Aguilar - George Loffhagen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.65 ↓ (1.86) |
|
2.17 ↑ (1.86) |
6.8% (7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - George Loffhagen?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Loffhagen will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Loffhagen: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Loffhagen (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 173. Loffhagen is ranked ATP: 252.
- Merida Aguilar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Loffhagen is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against George Loffhagen?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has George Loffhagen won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
George Loffhagen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - George Loffhagen were as follows:
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Latest results of George Loffhagen
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Struff J-L. (1) | Butvilas E. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Blanch Dar. (WC) | Potenza L. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Oberleitner N. (Q) | Gea A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Brunclik P. (Q) | Hussey G. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Blanch D. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Negritu Ch. | Coulibaly E. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Carboni L. (Q) | Crawford O. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Montes-De La Torre I. (WC) | Landaluce M. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Merida Aguilar D. (8) | Peniston R. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Ramos A. (Alt) | Kasnikowski M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Barroso Campos A. (Q) | Loffhagen G. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Durasovic V. | Klein L. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Echargui M. (6) | Brancaccio R. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Barton H. | Grenier H. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Kuzmanov D. | Coppejans K. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Gentzsch T. | Jarry N. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Butvilas E. | Potenza L. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Oberleitner N. | Brunclik P. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Coulibaly E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Crawford O. | Landaluce M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Merida Aguilar D. (8) | Kasnikowski M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Loffhagen G. | Durasovic V. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Echargui M. (6) | Grenier H. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Kuzmanov D. | Gentzsch T. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Potenza L. | Brunclik P. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Landaluce M. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Merida Aguilar D. (8) | Loffhagen G. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Grenier H. | Gentzsch T. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Brunclik P. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Merida Aguilar D. (8) | Grenier H. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Grenier H. | 2 : 1 |