Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Henri Squire – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lyon Challenger Men Daniel Merida Aguilar - Henri Squire
Result
2:1
11/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
65
Double Faults
33
1st Serve Percentage
81%64%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (44/70)67% (37/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
69% (11/16)45% (14/31)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)64% (7/11)
1st Return Points Won
33% (18/55)37% (26/70)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (17/31)31% (5/16)
Break Points Converted
36% (4/11)29% (2/7)
Service Points Won
64% (55/86)59% (51/86)
Return Points Won
41% (35/86)36% (31/86)
Total Points Won
52% (90/172)48% (82/172)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
85% (11/13)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)15% (2/13)
Total Games Won
58% (15/26)42% (11/26)

Chances of winning


Daniel Merida Aguilar
54.7%
Henri Squire
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Henri Squire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar - Henri Squire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.84)

    2.06
    (1.84)
    7.6%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Henri Squire?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Squire will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Merida Aguilar: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 292. Squire is ranked ATP: 370.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Squire may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Henri Squire
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Droguet T.2 : 0
    2Barranco Cosano J. (Alt)Martin Tiffon P. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Legout T. (Q)Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    4Onclin G.Ficovich J. P. (5)2 : 0
    5Jacquet K. (4)Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    6Alvarez Varona N. (Q)Squire H.0 : 2
    7van Assche L.Vrbensky M. (Q)2 : 1
    8Blancaneaux G.Nagal S. (6)2 : 0
    9Trungelliti M. (8)Moro Canas A.2 : 0
    10Gakhov I.Dellavedova M. (RET.) (Q)0 : 0
    11Paris T. (WC)Kuzmanov D.0 : 2
    12Janvier M. (Q)Cazaux A. (3)0 : 2
    13Hemery C. (7)Tabur C. (WC)0 : 2
    14Geerts M.Gea A. (WC)0 : 2
    15Martineau M.Vallejo D.0 : 2
    16Hsu Y. H.Moller E. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Barranco Cosano J.2 : 0
    2Poullain L.Onclin G.0 : 2
    3Merida Aguilar D.Squire H.2 : 1
    4van Assche L.Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M. (8)Gakhov I.2 : 1
    6Kuzmanov D.Cazaux A. (3)2 : 0
    7Tabur C.Gea A.2 : 1
    8Vallejo D.Hsu Y. H.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Onclin G.0 : 2
    2Merida Aguilar D.van Assche L.2 : 0
    3Trungelliti M. (8)Kuzmanov D.2 : 1
    4Tabur C.Hsu Y. H.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Onclin G.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    2Trungelliti M. (8)Tabur C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Merida Aguilar D.Trungelliti M. (8)1 : 2