Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Hugo Grenier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Villena Challenger Men Daniel Merida Aguilar - Hugo Grenier
Result
0:2
04/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
17
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
67%71%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (38/53)84% (41/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (13/26)55% (11/20)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
22% (11/49)28% (15/53)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (9/20)50% (13/26)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)29% (2/7)
Service Points Won
65% (51/79)75% (51/68)
Return Points Won
25% (17/68)35% (28/79)
Total Points Won
46% (68/147)54% (79/147)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
82% (9/11)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)18% (2/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Daniel Merida Aguilar
52.4%
Hugo Grenier
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Merida Aguilar's form might have worsened.
  • Hugo Grenier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Grenier's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Grenier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar - Hugo Grenier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.53)

    1.97
    (2.33)
    6.4%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 173. Grenier is ranked ATP: 191.
    • Merida Aguilar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Grenier has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Hugo Grenier
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Struff J-L. (1)Butvilas E.0 : 2
    2Blanch Dar. (WC)Potenza L. (LL)0 : 2
    3Oberleitner N. (Q)Gea A.2 : 0
    4Brunclik P. (Q)Hussey G. (LL)2 : 0
    5Carreno-Busta P. (3)Blanch D. (WC)2 : 1
    6Negritu Ch.Coulibaly E.1 : 2
    7Carboni L. (Q)Crawford O.0 : 2
    8Montes-De La Torre I. (WC)Landaluce M. (5)1 : 2
    9Merida Aguilar D. (8)Peniston R.2 : 0
    10Ramos A. (Alt)Kasnikowski M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Barroso Campos A. (Q)Loffhagen G.0 : 2
    12Durasovic V.Klein L. (4)2 : 0
    13Echargui M. (6)Brancaccio R. (Q)2 : 0
    14Barton H.Grenier H.0 : 2
    15Kuzmanov D.Coppejans K.2 : 0
    16Gentzsch T.Jarry N. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Butvilas E.Potenza L.0 : 2
    2Oberleitner N.Brunclik P.0 : 2
    3Carreno-Busta P. (3)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    4Crawford O.Landaluce M. (5)0 : 2
    5Merida Aguilar D. (8)Kasnikowski M.2 : 0
    6Loffhagen G.Durasovic V.2 : 1
    7Echargui M. (6)Grenier H.0 : 2
    8Kuzmanov D.Gentzsch T.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Potenza L.Brunclik P.0 : 2
    2Carreno-Busta P. (3)Landaluce M. (5)2 : 0
    3Merida Aguilar D. (8)Loffhagen G.2 : 1
    4Grenier H.Gentzsch T.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Brunclik P.Carreno-Busta P. (3)0 : 2
    2Merida Aguilar D. (8)Grenier H.0 : 2

    Final
    1Carreno-Busta P. (3)Grenier H.2 : 1