Result
1:2
05/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Match Stats
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Aces |
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0 | 2 |
Double Faults |
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5 | 3 |
1st Serve Percentage |
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71% | 64% |
1st Serve Points Won |
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60% (51/85) | 66% (43/65) |
2nd Serve Points Won |
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53% (18/34) | 64% (23/36) |
Break Points Saved |
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69% (11/16) | 86% (6/7) |
1st Return Points Won |
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37% (24/65) | 41% (35/85) |
2nd Return Points Won |
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36% (13/36) | 47% (16/34) |
Break Points Converted |
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14% (1/7) | 31% (5/16) |
Service Points Won |
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57% (68/119) | 65% (66/101) |
Return Points Won |
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35% (35/101) | 43% (51/119) |
Total Points Won |
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47% (103/220) | 53% (117/220) |
Last 10 Balls |
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2 | 8 |
Match Points Saved |
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1 | 0 |
Service Games Won |
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67% (10/15) | 93% (13/14) |
Return Games Won |
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7% (1/14) | 33% (5/15) |
Total Games Won |
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38% (11/29) | 62% (18/29) |
Chances of winning
Daniel Merida Aguilar 31.9% | Ignacio Buse 68.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-1%)
Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ignacio Buse Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.93 ↑ (2.68) |
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1.38 ↓ (1.46) |
6.6% (5.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ignacio Buse?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Buse will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Merida Aguilar: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +3.5 Games - Buse (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH +1.5 Sets - Buse (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 170. Buse is ranked ATP: 135.
- Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
- Buse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Buse is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Buse will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merida Aguilar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Ignacio Buse?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ignacio Buse won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Ignacio Buse has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ignacio Buse were as follows:
18.05.2024
Daniel Merida Aguilar
-
Ignacio Buse
0:2
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Latest results of Ignacio Buse
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals1 | Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (1) | Olivieri G. A. | 1 : 1 |
2 | Martin Tiffon P. | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
3 | Forejtek J. (Q) | Giustino L. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
4 | Ramos A. | Gaubas V. (8) | 1 : 2 |
5 | Lajovic D. (4) | Ymer E. | 2 : 1 |
6 | Strombachs R. (Q) | Ferreira Silva F. | 1 : 2 |
7 | Bueno G. | Barranco Cosano J. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
8 | Rincon D. (Alt) | Carreno-Busta P. (7) | 0 : 2 |
9 | Barrios Vera T. (5) | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
10 | Lopez Montagud C. (Q) | Sanchez Jover C. | 2 : 0 |
11 | Merida Aguilar D. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 1 |
12 | Alvarez Varona N. | Faria J. (3) | 1 : 2 |
13 | Buse I. (6) | Zapata Miralles B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
14 | Diaz Acosta F. | Llamas Ruiz P. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
15 | Den Ouden G. | Kellovsky D. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
16 | Martinez A. (Q) | Taberner C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals1 | Olivieri G. A. | Rocha H. | 2 : 1 |
2 | Forejtek J. | Gaubas V. (8) | 1 : 2 |
3 | Lajovic D. (4) | Ferreira Silva F. | 2 : 0 |
4 | Barranco Cosano J. | Carreno-Busta P. (7) | 0 : 2 |
5 | Jorda Sanchis D. | Lopez Montagud C. | 2 : 1 |
6 | Merida Aguilar D. | Faria J. (3) | 2 : 1 |
7 | Buse I. (6) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 2 : 0 |
8 | Den Ouden G. (RET.) | Taberner C. (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals1 | Olivieri G. A. | Gaubas V. (8) | 2 : 1 |
2 | Lajovic D. (4) | Carreno-Busta P. (7) | 2 : 1 |
3 | Jorda Sanchis D. | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
4 | Buse I. (6) | Taberner C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals1 | Olivieri G. A. | Lajovic D. (RET.) (4) | 1 : 0 |
2 | Merida Aguilar D. | Buse I. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final1 | Olivieri G. A. | Buse I. (6) | 1 : 2 |