Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ignacio Buse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Seville Challenger Men Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ignacio Buse
Result
1:2
05/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
53
1st Serve Percentage
71%64%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (51/85)66% (43/65)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (18/34)64% (23/36)
Break Points Saved
69% (11/16)86% (6/7)
1st Return Points Won
37% (24/65)41% (35/85)
2nd Return Points Won
36% (13/36)47% (16/34)
Break Points Converted
14% (1/7)31% (5/16)
Service Points Won
57% (68/119)65% (66/101)
Return Points Won
35% (35/101)43% (51/119)
Total Points Won
47% (103/220)53% (117/220)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)93% (13/14)
Return Games Won
7% (1/14)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
38% (11/29)62% (18/29)

Chances of winning


Daniel Merida Aguilar
31.9%
Ignacio Buse
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9% 67.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ignacio Buse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.68)

    1.38
    (1.46)
    6.6%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ignacio Buse?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Buse will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Merida Aguilar: 28.1%78.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +3.5 Games - Buse (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Buse (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 170. Buse is ranked ATP: 135.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Buse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Buse is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Buse will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merida Aguilar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ignacio Buse were as follows:
    18.05.2024 Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ignacio Buse 0:2
    Latest results of Ignacio Buse
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (1)Olivieri G. A.1 : 1
    2Martin Tiffon P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Forejtek J. (Q)Giustino L. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Ramos A.Gaubas V. (8)1 : 2
    5Lajovic D. (4)Ymer E.2 : 1
    6Strombachs R. (Q)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    7Bueno G.Barranco Cosano J. (WC)0 : 2
    8Rincon D. (Alt)Carreno-Busta P. (7)0 : 2
    9Barrios Vera T. (5)Jorda Sanchis D. (Q)0 : 2
    10Lopez Montagud C. (Q)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    11Merida Aguilar D.Negritu Ch.2 : 1
    12Alvarez Varona N.Faria J. (3)1 : 2
    13Buse I. (6)Zapata Miralles B. (WC)2 : 0
    14Diaz Acosta F.Llamas Ruiz P. (WC)0 : 2
    15Den Ouden G.Kellovsky D. (Q)2 : 1
    16Martinez A. (Q)Taberner C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Olivieri G. A.Rocha H.2 : 1
    2Forejtek J.Gaubas V. (8)1 : 2
    3Lajovic D. (4)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 0
    4Barranco Cosano J.Carreno-Busta P. (7)0 : 2
    5Jorda Sanchis D.Lopez Montagud C.2 : 1
    6Merida Aguilar D.Faria J. (3)2 : 1
    7Buse I. (6)Llamas Ruiz P.2 : 0
    8Den Ouden G. (RET.)Taberner C. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Olivieri G. A.Gaubas V. (8)2 : 1
    2Lajovic D. (4)Carreno-Busta P. (7)2 : 1
    3Jorda Sanchis D.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    4Buse I. (6)Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Olivieri G. A.Lajovic D. (RET.) (4)1 : 0
    2Merida Aguilar D.Buse I. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Olivieri G. A.Buse I. (6)1 : 2