Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Joel Schwaerzler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/04/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Daniel Merida Aguilar
52.1%
Joel Schwaerzler
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Merida Aguilar's form might have worsened.
  • Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joel Schwaerzler's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar - Joel Schwaerzler Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.4)

    1.94
    (2.7)
    7.3%
    (8.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 136. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 177.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Merida Aguilar could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merida Aguilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Joel Schwaerzler were as follows:
    31.03.2026 Daniel Merida Aguilar - Joel Schwaerzler 2:0