Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Mackenzie McDonald – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/05/2026 at 04:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
72
1st serve percentage
65%58%
1st serve points won
62% (36/58)60% (24/40)
2nd serve points won
55% (17/31)38% (11/29)
Break Points Saved
8/104/8
1st return points won
40% (16/40)38% (22/58)
2nd return points won
62% (18/29)45% (14/31)
Break Points Converted
4/82/10
Winners
3419
Unforced errors
3233
Net points won
80% (4/5)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
60% (53/89)51% (35/69)
Return Points Won
49% (34/69)40% (36/89)
Total Points Won
55% (87/158)45% (71/158)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
82% (9/11)64% (7/11)
Return games won
36% (4/11)18% (2/11)
Total games won
59% (13/22)41% (9/22)

Chances of winning


Daniel Merida Aguilar
79.7%
Mackenzie McDonald
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.8% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar - Mackenzie McDonald Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.18
    (1.24)

    4.61
    (3.68)
    6.7%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Mackenzie McDonald?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 4 - 80%). McDonald will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 102. McDonald is ranked ATP: 125.
    • Merida Aguilar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • McDonald is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • McDonald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Merida Aguilar is the undisputed favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Garin C. (1)Echargui M.2 : 0
    2Lajovic D.Choinski J. (20)0 : 2
    3Prizmic D. (2)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    4Bondioli F. (WC)Nava E. (18)2 : 1
    5Kypson P. (3)Pinnington Jones J.2 : 1
    6Martin Manzano J. C. (WC)Droguet T. (16)1 : 2
    7Carreno-Busta P. (4)Damm M.2 : 0
    8Travaglia S.Wawrinka S. (13)1 : 2
    9Vallejo D. (5)Faria J.1 : 2
    10Llamas Ruiz P. (Alt)Rocha H. (19)2 : 1
    11Kovacevic A. (6)Carboni L. (WC)2 : 0
    12Mochizuki S.Fearnley J. (15)0 : 2
    13van Assche L. (7)Dellien H.0 : 2
    14Martinez P.De Jong J. (14)0 : 2
    15Landaluce M. (8)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    16Pellegrino A.Gaston H. (17)2 : 0
    17Hijikata R. (9)Basile P. (WC)2 : 1
    18Moller E.Basilashvili N. (21)1 : 2
    19Merida Aguilar D. (10)McDonald M.2 : 0
    20Vasami J. (WC)Barrios Vera T. (23)0 : 2
    21Bonzi B. (11)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    22Budkov Kjaer N.Virtanen O. (22)2 : 1
    23Comesana F. (12)Harris B.2 : 0
    24Riedi L. (PR)Gaubas V. (24)2 : 0

    Final
    1Garin C. (1)Choinski J. (20)
    2Prizmic D. (2)Bondioli F.
    3Kypson P. (3)Droguet T. (16)
    4Carreno-Busta P. (4)Wawrinka S. (13)
    5Faria J.Llamas Ruiz P.
    6Kovacevic A. (6)Fearnley J. (15)
    7Dellien H.De Jong J. (14)
    8Landaluce M. (8)Pellegrino A.
    9Hijikata R. (9)Basilashvili N. (21)
    10Merida Aguilar D. (10)Barrios Vera T. (23)
    11Svrcina D.Budkov Kjaer N.
    12Comesana F. (12)Riedi L.