Result
2:0
01/10/2025 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 71% | 59% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (25/34) | 62% (24/39) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 37% (10/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 55% (6/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (16/39) | 26% (9/34) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (17/27) | 57% (8/14) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 100% (2/2) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (31/48) | 52% (34/65) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (31/65) | 35% (17/48) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (62/113) | 45% (51/113) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 50% (5/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 22% (2/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 37% (7/19) |
Chances of winning
Daniel Merida Aguilar
66.3% | Maks Kasnikowski
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.Maks Kasnikowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maks Kasnikowski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maks Kasnikowski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Daniel Merida Aguilar - Maks Kasnikowski Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.67) |
|
2.73 ↑
(2.05) |
7%
(8.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Maks Kasnikowski?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Kasnikowski will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Merida Aguilar: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kasnikowski (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 173. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 547.
- Recent performances by Merida Aguilar have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kasnikowski is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Kasnikowski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Merida Aguilar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Maks Kasnikowski?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maks Kasnikowski won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Maks Kasnikowski has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Maks Kasnikowski were as follows:
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Latest results of Maks Kasnikowski
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Struff J-L. (1) | Butvilas E. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Blanch Dar. (WC) | Potenza L. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Oberleitner N. (Q) | Gea A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Brunclik P. (Q) | Hussey G. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Blanch D. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Negritu Ch. | Coulibaly E. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Carboni L. (Q) | Crawford O. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Montes-De La Torre I. (WC) | Landaluce M. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Merida Aguilar D. (8) | Peniston R. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Ramos A. (Alt) | Kasnikowski M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Barroso Campos A. (Q) | Loffhagen G. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Durasovic V. | Klein L. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Echargui M. (6) | Brancaccio R. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Barton H. | Grenier H. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Kuzmanov D. | Coppejans K. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Gentzsch T. | Jarry N. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Butvilas E. | Potenza L. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Oberleitner N. | Brunclik P. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Coulibaly E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Crawford O. | Landaluce M. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Merida Aguilar D. (8) | Kasnikowski M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Loffhagen G. | Durasovic V. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Echargui M. (6) | Grenier H. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Kuzmanov D. | Gentzsch T. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Potenza L. | Brunclik P. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Landaluce M. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Merida Aguilar D. (8) | Loffhagen G. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Grenier H. | Gentzsch T. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Brunclik P. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Merida Aguilar D. (8) | Grenier H. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Grenier H. | 2 : 1 |
