Result
1:2
15/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon, clay - Final
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 51% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (40/65) | 60% (30/50) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 54% (26/48) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 56% (5/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 38% (25/65) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 63% (30/48) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 29% (6/21) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (58/112) | 57% (56/99) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (43/99) | 48% (54/112) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (101/211) | 52% (110/211) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 43% (6/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 57% (16/28) |
Chances of winning
Daniel Merida Aguilar
48.3% | Marco Trungelliti
51.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marco Trungelliti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.01) |
|
1.79 ↑
(1.74) |
7%
(7.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marco Trungelliti?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trungelliti: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Trungelliti (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 292. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 188.
- Right now, both players are showing solid form.
- Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- We predict that Trungelliti will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merida Aguilar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Merida Aguilar won against Marco Trungelliti?
Daniel Merida Aguilar has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marco Trungelliti won against Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Marco Trungelliti has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marco Trungelliti were as follows:
07.04.2025
Marco Trungelliti
-
Daniel Merida Aguilar
2:0
08.10.2022
Daniel Merida Aguilar
-
Marco Trungelliti
0:2
Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (1) | Droguet T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Barranco Cosano J. (Alt) | Martin Tiffon P. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Legout T. (Q) | Poullain L. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Onclin G. | Ficovich J. P. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Jacquet K. (4) | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Alvarez Varona N. (Q) | Squire H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | van Assche L. | Vrbensky M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Blancaneaux G. | Nagal S. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Trungelliti M. (8) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Gakhov I. | Dellavedova M. (RET.) (Q) | 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Paris T. (WC) | Kuzmanov D. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Janvier M. (Q) | Cazaux A. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Hemery C. (7) | Tabur C. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Geerts M. | Gea A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Martineau M. | Vallejo D. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Hsu Y. H. | Moller E. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (1) | Barranco Cosano J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Poullain L. | Onclin G. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Merida Aguilar D. | Squire H. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | van Assche L. | Blancaneaux G. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Trungelliti M. (8) | Gakhov I. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Kuzmanov D. | Cazaux A. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Tabur C. | Gea A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Vallejo D. | Hsu Y. H. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (1) | Onclin G. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Merida Aguilar D. | van Assche L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Trungelliti M. (8) | Kuzmanov D. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Tabur C. | Hsu Y. H. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Onclin G. | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Trungelliti M. (8) | Tabur C. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Merida Aguilar D. | Trungelliti M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
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