Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marco Trungelliti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Lyon Challenger Men Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marco Trungelliti
Result
1:2
15/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
153
1st Serve Percentage
58%51%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (40/65)60% (30/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (18/48)54% (26/48)
Break Points Saved
71% (15/21)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
40% (20/50)38% (25/65)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (22/48)63% (30/48)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)29% (6/21)
Service Points Won
52% (58/112)57% (56/99)
Return Points Won
43% (43/99)48% (54/112)
Total Points Won
48% (101/211)52% (110/211)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
110
Service Games Won
57% (8/14)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)43% (6/14)
Total Games Won
43% (12/28)57% (16/28)

Chances of winning


Daniel Merida Aguilar
48.3%
Marco Trungelliti
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marco Trungelliti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.01)

    1.79
    (1.74)
    7%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marco Trungelliti?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Trungelliti: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Trungelliti (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 292. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 188.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • We predict that Trungelliti will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merida Aguilar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marco Trungelliti were as follows:
    07.04.2025 Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Merida Aguilar 2:0
    08.10.2022 Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marco Trungelliti 0:2
    Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Droguet T.2 : 0
    2Barranco Cosano J. (Alt)Martin Tiffon P. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Legout T. (Q)Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    4Onclin G.Ficovich J. P. (5)2 : 0
    5Jacquet K. (4)Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    6Alvarez Varona N. (Q)Squire H.0 : 2
    7van Assche L.Vrbensky M. (Q)2 : 1
    8Blancaneaux G.Nagal S. (6)2 : 0
    9Trungelliti M. (8)Moro Canas A.2 : 0
    10Gakhov I.Dellavedova M. (RET.) (Q)0 : 0
    11Paris T. (WC)Kuzmanov D.0 : 2
    12Janvier M. (Q)Cazaux A. (3)0 : 2
    13Hemery C. (7)Tabur C. (WC)0 : 2
    14Geerts M.Gea A. (WC)0 : 2
    15Martineau M.Vallejo D.0 : 2
    16Hsu Y. H.Moller E. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Barranco Cosano J.2 : 0
    2Poullain L.Onclin G.0 : 2
    3Merida Aguilar D.Squire H.2 : 1
    4van Assche L.Blancaneaux G.2 : 0
    5Trungelliti M. (8)Gakhov I.2 : 1
    6Kuzmanov D.Cazaux A. (3)2 : 0
    7Tabur C.Gea A.2 : 1
    8Vallejo D.Hsu Y. H.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Carreno-Busta P. (1)Onclin G.0 : 2
    2Merida Aguilar D.van Assche L.2 : 0
    3Trungelliti M. (8)Kuzmanov D.2 : 1
    4Tabur C.Hsu Y. H.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Onclin G.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    2Trungelliti M. (8)Tabur C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Merida Aguilar D.Trungelliti M. (8)1 : 2