Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Matej Dodig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Royan Challenger Men Daniel Merida Aguilar - Matej Dodig
Result
2:1
17/06/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Royan, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
114
1st Serve Percentage
65%56%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (56/80)74% (51/69)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (18/44)45% (25/55)
Break Points Saved
67% (8/12)63% (10/16)
1st Return Points Won
26% (18/69)30% (24/80)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (30/55)59% (26/44)
Break Points Converted
38% (6/16)33% (4/12)
Service Points Won
60% (74/124)61% (76/124)
Return Points Won
39% (48/124)40% (50/124)
Total Points Won
49% (122/248)51% (126/248)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
78% (14/18)67% (12/18)
Return Games Won
33% (6/18)22% (4/18)
Total Games Won
56% (20/36)44% (16/36)

Chances of winning


Daniel Merida Aguilar
63.4%
Matej Dodig
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.2% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matej Dodig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar - Matej Dodig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.41)

    2.54
    (2.75)
    6.6%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Matej Dodig?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 292. Dodig is ranked ATP: 376.
    • Right now, both players are showing solid form.
    • Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Merida Aguilar is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Matej Dodig
    11.06.2025 Matej Dodig - Jaime Faria Faria J. retired
    10.06.2025 Mateus Alves - Matej Dodig 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Hemery C. (1)Stebe C. (PR)2 : 0
    2Boitan G. A.Couacaud E. (WC)1 : 2
    3Gombos N.Ivanovski K. (PR)0 : 2
    4Poullain L. (Q)Kuzmanov D. (5)0 : 2
    5Hsu Y. H. (4)Brunold M.0 : 2
    6Faurel T. (WC)Paris T. (Q)1 : 2
    7Santamarta Roig A. (Q)Marti Pujolras A.2 : 1
    8Papamalamis T. (Q)Gakhov I. (7)0 : 2
    9Merida Aguilar D. (8)Dodig M.2 : 1
    10Alcala Gurri M. (Q)Bax F.1 : 2
    11Paire B. (WC)Gadamauri B. (Q)0 : 2
    12Feldbausch K. (NG)Tabur C. (3)2 : 0
    13Erhard M. (6)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    14Barranco Cosano J.Mikrut L.0 : 2
    15Gea A.Strombachs R.2 : 1
    16Sanchez Izquierdo N.Droguet T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Hemery C. (1)Couacaud E.0 : 2
    2Ivanovski K.Kuzmanov D. (5)1 : 2
    3Brunold M.Paris T.2 : 0
    4Santamarta Roig A.Gakhov I. (7)2 : 1
    5Merida Aguilar D. (8)Bax F.2 : 0
    6Gadamauri B.Feldbausch K.0 : 2
    7Erhard M. (6)Mikrut L.0 : 2
    8Gea A.Droguet T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Couacaud E.Kuzmanov D. (5)0 : 2
    2Brunold M.Santamarta Roig A.2 : 0
    3Merida Aguilar D. (8)Feldbausch K.2 : 0
    4Mikrut L.Droguet T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kuzmanov D. (5)Brunold M.2 : 1
    2Merida Aguilar D. (8)Droguet T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Kuzmanov D. (5)Droguet T. (2)1 : 2