Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Mathias Bourgue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Challenger Daniel Merida Aguilar - Mathias Bourgue
02/04/2023 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MURCIA (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Chances of winning


Daniel Merida Aguilar
42.7%
Mathias Bourgue
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 62.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.
  • Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mathias Bourgue might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mathias Bourgue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar - Mathias Bourgue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.54)

    1.62
    (1.46)
    7.6%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Mathias Bourgue?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Bourgue will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Merida Aguilar: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Merida Aguilar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Bourgue will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mathias Bourgue