Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ryan Peniston – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Alicante Challenger Men Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ryan Peniston
Result
2:0
30/09/2025 at 04:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
10
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
75%61%
1st Serve Points Won
60% (32/53)49% (20/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (7/18)42% (11/26)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)25% (2/8)
1st Return Points Won
56% (23/41)40% (21/53)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (15/26)61% (11/18)
Break Points Converted
75% (6/8)33% (3/9)
Service Points Won
55% (39/71)44% (29/66)
Return Points Won
56% (37/66)45% (32/71)
Total Points Won
55% (76/137)45% (61/137)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)33% (3/9)
Return Games Won
67% (6/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Daniel Merida Aguilar
65.9%
Ryan Peniston
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 51.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.
  • Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ryan Peniston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Merida Aguilar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (+17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ryan Peniston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ryan Peniston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.83)

    2.78
    (1.83)
    5.2%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ryan Peniston?
  • Users Predictions: Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 173. Peniston is ranked ATP: 233.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Merida Aguilar might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Daniel Merida Aguilar
    Latest results of Ryan Peniston
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Struff J-L. (1)Butvilas E.
    2Blanch Dar. (WC)Potenza L. (LL)
    3Oberleitner N. (Q)Gea A.
    4Alvarez Varona N.Kym J. (7)
    5Carreno-Busta P. (3)Blanch D. (WC)
    6Negritu Ch.Coulibaly E.
    7Carboni L. (Q)Crawford O.
    8Montes-De La Torre I. (WC)Landaluce M. (5)
    9Merida Aguilar D. (8)Peniston R.0 : 0
    10Ramos A. (Alt)Kasnikowski M. (Q)
    11Barroso Campos A. (Q)Loffhagen G.
    12Durasovic V.Klein L. (4)1 : 0
    13Echargui M. (6)Brancaccio R. (Q)
    14Barton H.Grenier H.
    15Kuzmanov D.Coppejans K.1 : 0
    16Gentzsch T.Jarry N. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2