Daniel Michalski vs Arthur Gea – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
19/03/2026 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
04
Double Faults
23
1st serve percentage
75%57%
1st serve points won
62% (36/58)77% (34/44)
2nd serve points won
26% (5/19)45% (15/33)
Break Points Saved
5/84/6
1st return points won
25% (11/44)38% (22/58)
2nd return points won
55% (18/33)74% (14/19)
Break Points Converted
2/63/8
Winners
1238
Unforced errors
3042
Net points won
46% (6/13)60% (6/10)
Service Points Won
53% (41/77)64% (49/77)
Return Points Won
36% (28/77)47% (36/77)
Total Points Won
45% (69/154)55% (85/154)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
30
Service games won
70% (7/10)82% (9/11)
Return games won
18% (2/11)30% (3/10)
Total games won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Daniel Michalski
30.6%
Arthur Gea
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 64.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Daniel Michalski - Arthur Gea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (2.93)

    1.35
    (1.36)
    6.9%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Michalski - Arthur Gea?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Michalski will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gea will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arthur Gea will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Michalski is ranked ATP: 266. Gea is ranked ATP: 144.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Gea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Gea is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Daniel Michalski
    Latest results of Arthur Gea
    12.03.2026 Sean Cuenin - Arthur Gea Cuenin S. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Piros Z. (1)Dalla Valle E. (WC)0 : 2
    2Obradovic D. (Alt)Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    3Krumich M.Sperle J. (Q)2 : 0
    4Lokoli L. (Q)Dodig M. (7)1 : 2
    5Travaglia S. (4)Poljicak M.2 : 0
    6Squire H.Palosi S. (RET.) (LL)1 : 0
    7Alcala Gurri M.Cerny M. (Q)2 : 0
    8Langmo C. (Q)Molcan A. (5)0 : 2
    9Neumayer L. (8)Nagal S.2 : 1
    10Fatic N.Pereira T.2 : 0
    11Pieri S. (Q)Michalski D.0 : 2
    12Kuzmanov D.Gea A. (3)1 : 2
    13Giustino L. (6)Forejtek J.0 : 2
    14Nedic A.Ivanisevic E. (WC)2 : 0
    15Simundza J. (WC)Perez Contri S. (Q)0 : 2
    16Sels J.Jacquet K. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dalla Valle E.Ajdukovic D.0 : 2
    2Krumich M.Dodig M. (7)1 : 2
    3Travaglia S. (4)Squire H.2 : 0
    4Alcala Gurri M.Molcan A. (5)1 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (8)Fatic N.2 : 1
    6Michalski D.Gea A. (3)0 : 2
    7Forejtek J.Nedic A.2 : 0
    8Perez Contri S.Jacquet K. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ajdukovic D.Dodig M. (7)0 : 2
    2Travaglia S. (4)Molcan A. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    3Neumayer L. (8)Gea A. (3)1 : 2
    4Forejtek J.Jacquet K. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M. (7)Travaglia S. (4)0 : 2
    2Gea A. (3)Jacquet K. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Travaglia S. (4)Gea A. (RET.) (3)0 : 0