Result
0:2
24/03/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Split, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 52% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 58% (22/38) | 69% (20/29) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 52% (14/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 4/9 | 1/4 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 42% (16/38) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 64% (18/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/4 | 5/9 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 75% (9/12) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (32/66) | 61% (34/56) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 52% (34/66) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (54/122) | 56% (68/122) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 50% (5/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 60% (12/20) |
Chances of winning
Daniel Rincon 46.8% | Maxim Mrva 53.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Rincon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maxim Mrva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Daniel Rincon - Maxim Mrva Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2 ↑ (1.85) |
|
1.75 ↓ (1.85) |
7.1% (8.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniel Rincon - Maxim Mrva?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Mrva will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Rincon is ranked ATP: 292. Mrva is ranked ATP: 271.
- Rincon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mrva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Rincon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Daniel Rincon won against Maxim Mrva?
Daniel Rincon has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Maxim Mrva won against Daniel Rincon?
Maxim Mrva has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Rincon - Maxim Mrva were as follows:
Latest results of Daniel Rincon
Latest results of Maxim Mrva
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Dodig M. (1) | Langmo C. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kirkin E. (Q) | Kopp S. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Poljicak M. (WC) | Ivanisevic E. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Krumich M. | Gill F. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Neumayer L. (3) | Martin Manzano J. C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ajdukovic D. | Campana Lee G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rincon D. | Mrva M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Krutykh O. (Q) | Coppejans K. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Ferreira Silva F. (5) | Michalski D. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Berrettini J. | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Nedic A. | Sels J. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Kuzmanov D. | Fatic N. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Gentzsch T. (7) | Forejtek J. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Oetzbach A. (Q) | Romano F. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Simundza J. (WC) | Coulibaly E. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Vasilev A. (JR) | Loffhagen G. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Dodig M. (1) | Kopp S. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Poljicak M. | Gill F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Neumayer L. (3) | Ajdukovic D. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Mrva M. | Coppejans K. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ferreira Silva F. (5) | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nedic A. | Kuzmanov D. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Gentzsch T. (7) | Romano F. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Coulibaly E. | Vasilev A. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Dodig M. (RET.) (1) | Poljicak M. | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Neumayer L. (3) | Coppejans K. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | Nedic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Gentzsch T. (7) | Vasilev A. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Poljicak M. | Coppejans K. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | Gentzsch T. (7) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Poljicak M. | Gentzsch T. (7) | 2 : 0 |