Daniel Rincon vs Toby Samuel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
12/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
01
1st serve percentage
53%60%
1st serve points won
50% (13/26)82% (28/34)
2nd serve points won
39% (9/23)48% (11/23)
Break Points Saved
7/117/7
1st return points won
29% (10/34)50% (13/26)
2nd return points won
52% (12/23)61% (14/23)
Break Points Converted
0/74/11
Winners
823
Unforced errors
2423
Net points won
67% (2/3)60% (9/15)
Service Points Won
45% (22/49)68% (39/57)
Return Points Won
32% (18/57)55% (27/49)
Total Points Won
38% (40/106)62% (66/106)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
43% (3/7)100% (8/8)
Return games won
0% (0/8)57% (4/7)
Total games won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Daniel Rincon
29.7%
Toby Samuel
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 66.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Daniel Rincon - Toby Samuel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.92)

    1.34
    (1.35)
    7%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Rincon is ranked ATP: 303. Samuel is ranked ATP: 244.
    • Rincon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Samuel is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Samuel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Samuel is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Samuel will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rincon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Rincon - Toby Samuel were as follows:
    04.03.2026 Toby Samuel - Daniel Rincon 2:0
    09.02.2026 Daniel Rincon - Toby Samuel 0:2
    Latest results of Daniel Rincon
    Latest results of Toby Samuel
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Durasovic V.2 : 1
    2Makk P. (Q)Henning P.0 : 2
    3Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)Jubb P.0 : 2
    4Hussey G.Wendelken H. (7)0 : 2
    5Gentzsch T. (3)Berrettini J.2 : 1
    6Nesterov P. (Q)Jones M.2 : 1
    7Carboni L. (NG)Iannaccone F. (Q)0 : 2
    8Mrva M.Kuzmanov D. (5)2 : 0
    9Pereira T. (6)Geerts M.0 : 2
    10Bernet H. (JR)Dostanic S.0 : 2
    11Barranco Cosano J. (RET.) (Q)Shelbayh A.0 : 1
    12Piraino G. (Alt)Coppejans K. (4)1 : 2
    13Bertrand R. (8)Langmo C. (Q)2 : 1
    14Xilas I. (WC)Rybakov A.0 : 2
    15Rincon D.Gadamauri B. (Q)2 : 1
    16Efstathiou M. (WC)Samuel T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Henning P.2 : 1
    2Jubb P.Wendelken H. (7)2 : 0
    3Gentzsch T. (3)Nesterov P.0 : 2
    4Iannaccone F.Mrva M.1 : 2
    5Geerts M.Dostanic S.0 : 2
    6Shelbayh A.Coppejans K. (4)1 : 2
    7Bertrand R. (8)Rybakov A.2 : 0
    8Rincon D.Samuel T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Jubb P.1 : 2
    2Nesterov P.Mrva M.0 : 2
    3Dostanic S.Coppejans K. (4)2 : 0
    4Bertrand R. (8)Samuel T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Jubb P.Mrva M.0 : 2
    2Dostanic S.Samuel T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Mrva M.Samuel T. (2)0 : 2