Jelena Ostapenko vs Danielle Collins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
03/04/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
54
1st Serve Percentage
65%53%
1st Serve Points Won
53% (24/45)63% (24/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (11/24)50% (17/34)
Break Points Saved
50% (5/10)57% (4/7)
1st Return Points Won
42% (16/38)49% (22/45)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (17/34)54% (13/24)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)50% (5/10)
Service Points Won
49% (34/69)57% (41/72)
Return Points Won
43% (31/72)51% (35/69)
Total Points Won
46% (65/141)54% (76/141)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (5/10)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)50% (5/10)
Total Games Won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Jelena Ostapenko
41.3%
Danielle Collins
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 55.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Danielle Collins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danielle Collins than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Jelena Ostapenko - Danielle Collins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.15)

    1.61
    (1.71)
    5.6%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Jelena Ostapenko - Danielle Collins?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 Sets - Ostapenko (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 Games - Collins (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Danielle Collins will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Danielle Collins will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ostapenko (votes: 2 - 25%). Collins (votes: 6 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 25. Collins is ranked WTA: 22.
    • Ostapenko is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Collins is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Collins could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Ostapenko won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jelena Ostapenko - Danielle Collins were as follows:
    13.09.2023 Jelena Ostapenko - Danielle Collins 1:2
    06.02.2023 Danielle Collins - Jelena Ostapenko 1:2
    Latest results of Jelena Ostapenko
    Latest results of Danielle Collins
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Putintseva Y.Sun L.2 : 0
    3Sherif M.Yuan Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCocciaretto E. (14)
    5Fernandez L. (9)Bye
    6Kudermetova P. (Q)Oliynykova O.2 : 1
    7Lys E.Volynets K.1 : 2
    8ByeShnaider D. (7)
    9Jovic I. (4)Bye
    10Parks A.Stoiana M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Andreescu B. (WC)Galfi D.2 : 1
    12ByeKenin S. (16)
    13Sakkari M. (10)Bye
    14Day K. (Q)Badosa P. (WC)0 : 2
    15Tomova V. (Q)Brady J. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeKalinskaya A. (8)
    17Keys M. (5)Bye
    18Tomljanovic A.Vekic D. (Q)1 : 2
    19Vidmanova D. (LL)Bondar A.0 : 2
    20ByeFrech M. (11)
    21Bejlek S. (13)Bye
    22Sierra S. (RET.)Urhobo A. (Q)0 : 1
    23Zakharova A.Yastremska D.0 : 2
    24ByeBencic B. (3)
    25Stearns P. (17)Bye
    26Krueger A.McNally C.2 : 1
    27Kalieva E. (LL)Kessler M.1 : 2
    28ByeTjen J. (12)
    29Baptiste H. (15)Bye
    30Stephens S. (WC)Zarazua R.0 : 2
    31Zhang S.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2
    32ByeGorgodze E. (LL)

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    2Yuan Y.Cocciaretto E. (14)0 : 2
    3Fernandez L. (9)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    4Volynets K.Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    5Jovic I. (4)Parks A.2 : 0
    6Andreescu B.Kenin S. (16)0 : 2
    7Sakkari M. (10)Badosa P.0 : 2
    8Tomova V.Kalinskaya A. (8)0 : 2
    9Keys M. (5)Vekic D.2 : 0
    10Bondar A.Frech M. (11)2 : 0
    11Bejlek S. (13)Urhobo A.2 : 0
    12Yastremska D.Bencic B. (3)1 : 2
    13Stearns P. (17)Krueger A.2 : 0
    14Kessler M.Tjen J. (12)2 : 0
    15Baptiste H. (15)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    16Starodubtseva Y.Gorgodze E. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Cocciaretto E. (14)2 : 1
    2Fernandez L. (9)Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    3Jovic I. (4)Kenin S. (16)2 : 0
    4Badosa P.Kalinskaya A. (8)0 : 2
    5Keys M. (5)Bondar A.2 : 0
    6Bejlek S. (13)Bencic B. (3)0 : 2
    7Stearns P. (17)Kessler M.1 : 2
    8Zarazua R.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Shnaider D. (7)2 : 1
    2Jovic I. (4)Kalinskaya A. (8)2 : 0
    3Keys M. (5)Bencic B. (3)2 : 1
    4Kessler M.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Jovic I. (4)2 : 1
    2Keys M. (5)Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0