Result
0:2
10/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 2 |
Match Stats
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| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 52% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (13/29) | 58% (14/24) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 55% (12/22) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 25% (1/4) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (10/24) | 55% (16/29) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 74% (17/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 58% (7/12) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 90% (9/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (19/52) | 57% (26/46) |
| Return Points Won |
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| 43% (20/46) | 63% (33/52) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (39/98) | 60% (59/98) |
| Last 10 Balls |
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| 2 | 8 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 63% (5/8) |
| Return Games Won |
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| 38% (3/8) | 88% (7/8) |
| Total Games Won |
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| 25% (4/16) | 75% (12/16) |
Chances of winning
Daniil Medvedev
43.4% | Alex De Minaur
56.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniil Medvedev's form might have worsened.Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex De Minaur's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Medvedev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex De Minaur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(1.88) |
|
1.68 ↓
(1.88) |
5.3%
(6.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur?
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 11 - 27.5%). De Minaur will win (votes: 29 - 72.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 58.7% – 86.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alex De Minaur will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 3.
- Both players are now playing unstable.
- Medvedev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:10 (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Daniil Medvedev won against Alex De Minaur?
Daniil Medvedev has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Daniil Medvedev?
Alex De Minaur has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
12.11.2024
Daniil Medvedev
-
Alex De Minaur
2:0
03.06.2024
Alex De Minaur
-
Daniil Medvedev
3:1
30.09.2023
Alex De Minaur
-
Daniil Medvedev
0:2
04.09.2023
Daniil Medvedev
-
Alex De Minaur
3:1
11.08.2023
Alex De Minaur
-
Daniil Medvedev
2:0
Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
Latest results of Alex De Minaur
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Navone M. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Lehecka J. | Korda S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bu Y. (Q) | Musetti L. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Rune H. (RET.) (10) | Borges N. | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Sonego L. | Martinez P. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Thompson J. | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Tsitsipas S. (6) | |
| 9 | Djokovic N. (3) | Bye | |
| 10 | Wawrinka S. (WC) | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Struff J-L. | Vacherot V. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Jarry N. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (9) | Khachanov K. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Muller A. | Ugo Carabelli C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Machac T. | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (8) | |
| 17 | Draper J. (5) | Bye | |
| 18 | Giron M. | Shapovalov D. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Etcheverry T. M. | Moutet C. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Shelton B. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 21 | Tiafoe F. (14) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Popyrin A. | Humbert U. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Bautista-Agut R. | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Ruud C. (4) | |
| 25 | Rublev A. (7) | Bye | |
| 26 | Monfils G. | Marozsan F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Lajovic D. (Q) | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Griekspoor T. | Fils A. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Auger-Aliassime F. (16) | Altmaier D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Arnaldi M. | Gasquet R. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Fognini F. (WC) | Cerundolo F. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Berrettini M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Lehecka J. | Musetti L. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Borges N. | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Thompson J. | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Djokovic N. (3) | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Vacherot V. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (9) | Muller A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Machac T. | De Minaur A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Draper J. (5) | Giron M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Etcheverry T. M. | Davidovich Fokina A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Tiafoe F. (14) | Popyrin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bautista-Agut R. | Ruud C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rublev A. (7) | Monfils G. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Cobolli F. | Fils A. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Altmaier D. | Gasquet R. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Cerundolo F. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Berrettini M. | Musetti L. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Borges N. | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (9) | De Minaur A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Draper J. (5) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Rublev A. (7) | Fils A. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Altmaier D. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Dimitrov G. (15) | De Minaur A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Fils A. (12) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | De Minaur A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
