Result
2:0
26/09/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 62% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 81% (22/27) | 50% (19/38) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 48% (11/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 55% (6/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (19/38) | 19% (5/27) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 50% (8/16) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 100% (2/2) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 45% (9/20) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (30/43) | 49% (30/61) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (31/61) | 30% (13/43) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (61/104) | 41% (43/104) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 50% (5/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 22% (2/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 37% (7/19) |
Chances of winning
Daniil Medvedev
74.9% | Cameron Norrie
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniil Medvedev's performance.Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cameron Norrie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Medvedev that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cameron Norrie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Daniil Medvedev - Cameron Norrie Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.39) |
|
4.03 ↑
(2.91) |
3.3%
(6.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Cameron Norrie?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Norrie will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Medvedev is ranked ATP: 18. Norrie is ranked ATP: 34.
- Medvedev is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Norrie has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Norrie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Medvedev is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Daniil Medvedev won against Cameron Norrie?
Daniil Medvedev has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cameron Norrie won against Daniil Medvedev?
Cameron Norrie has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Cameron Norrie were as follows:
27.05.2025
Daniil Medvedev
-
Cameron Norrie
2:3
09.05.2025
Cameron Norrie
-
Daniil Medvedev
0:2
24.03.2024
Cameron Norrie
-
Daniil Medvedev
0:2
Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
Latest results of Cameron Norrie
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Cilic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Atmane T. (Q) | Zhang Z. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Bonzi B. | Marozsan F. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Muller A. | Khachanov K. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | De Minaur A. (3) | Bu Y. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Goffin D. (Q) | Rinderknech A. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Shang J. (WC) | Cazaux A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Kecmanovic M. | Mensik J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Rublev A. (6) | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Tien L. | Cerundolo F. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Mannarino A. (Q) | Bublik A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Mpetshi Perricard G. | Musetti L. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (8) | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Ugo Carabelli C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Moutet C. | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Sonego L. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Marozsan F. | Muller A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | De Minaur A. (3) | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Cazaux A. | Mensik J. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Cobolli F. | Tien L. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mannarino A. | Musetti L. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (8) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Moutet C. | Zverev A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | De Minaur A. (3) | Mensik J. (RET.) (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Tien L. | Musetti L. (RET.) (4) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (8) | Zverev A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | De Minaur A. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Tien L. | Medvedev D. (RET.) (8) | 1 : 1 |
Final
