Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Vienna Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet
Result
0:2
23/10/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
61
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
61%57%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (25/44)65% (33/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (13/28)45% (17/38)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)63% (5/8)
1st Return Points Won
35% (18/51)43% (19/44)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (21/38)54% (15/28)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)67% (4/6)
Winners
2133
Unforced Errors
1414
Net Points Won
41% (19/46)109% (38/35)
Service Points Won
54% (38/71)56% (50/89)
Return Points Won
44% (39/89)46% (33/71)
Total Points Won
48% (77/160)52% (83/160)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
64% (7/11)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)36% (4/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Daniil Medvedev
66.6%
Corentin Moutet
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Medvedev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corentin Moutet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.36)

    2.88
    (3.03)
    4.6%
    (6.5%)
    What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Moutet will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 67.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Moutet (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Medvedev is ranked ATP: 14. Moutet is ranked ATP: 36.
    • Medvedev is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Moutet is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Medvedev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Medvedev might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Medvedev will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Corentin Moutet - Daniil Medvedev 1:2
    25.07.2025 Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet 1:2
    Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
    Latest results of Corentin Moutet