Daniil Medvedev vs Karen Khachanov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/04/2025 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
50%71%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (35/48)52% (44/85)
2nd Serve Points Won
33% (16/48)38% (13/34)
Break Points Saved
50% (8/16)55% (11/20)
1st Return Points Won
48% (41/85)27% (13/48)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (21/34)67% (32/48)
Break Points Converted
45% (9/20)50% (8/16)
Winners
3626
Unforced Errors
3443
Net Points Won
50% (4/8)55% (12/22)
Service Points Won
53% (51/96)48% (57/119)
Return Points Won
52% (62/119)47% (45/96)
Total Points Won
53% (113/215)47% (102/215)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (8/16)44% (7/16)
Return Games Won
56% (9/16)50% (8/16)
Total Games Won
53% (17/32)47% (15/32)

Chances of winning


Daniil Medvedev
51.3%
Karen Khachanov
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniil Medvedev's form might have worsened.
  • Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karen Khachanov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Medvedev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karen Khachanov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.45)

    1.95
    (2.78)
    5.8%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Khachanov will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 38.8%75.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Karen Khachanov will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 26.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 4.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov were as follows:
    18.02.2025 Karen Khachanov - Daniil Medvedev 1:2
    11.04.2024 Karen Khachanov - Daniil Medvedev 2:0
    27.10.2023 Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov 2:1
    31.03.2023 Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov 2:1
    05.01.2023 Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov 2:0
    Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
    Latest results of Karen Khachanov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)
    11Mensik J.Marozsan F.
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)
    5Musetti L. (4)TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Medvedev D. (7)TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2