Result
2:1
07/04/2025 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 50% | 71% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (35/48) | 52% (44/85) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (16/48) | 38% (13/34) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 55% (11/20) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (41/85) | 27% (13/48) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (21/34) | 67% (32/48) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 50% (8/16) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 36 | 26 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 34 | 43 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 55% (12/22) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (51/96) | 48% (57/119) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (62/119) | 47% (45/96) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (113/215) | 47% (102/215) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 44% (7/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 50% (8/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (17/32) | 47% (15/32) |
Chances of winning
Daniil Medvedev
51.3% | Karen Khachanov
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniil Medvedev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniil Medvedev's form might have worsened.Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karen Khachanov's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (+16.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniil Medvedev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-16.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karen Khachanov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.45) |
|
1.95 ↓
(2.78) |
5.8%
(4.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Khachanov will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 38.8% – 75.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Karen Khachanov will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 26.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 4.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Medvedev won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Daniil Medvedev won against Karen Khachanov?
Daniil Medvedev has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karen Khachanov won against Daniil Medvedev?
Karen Khachanov has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Karen Khachanov were as follows:
18.02.2025
Karen Khachanov
-
Daniil Medvedev
1:2
11.04.2024
Karen Khachanov
-
Daniil Medvedev
2:0
27.10.2023
Daniil Medvedev
-
Karen Khachanov
2:1
31.03.2023
Daniil Medvedev
-
Karen Khachanov
2:1
05.01.2023
Daniil Medvedev
-
Karen Khachanov
2:0
Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
Latest results of Karen Khachanov
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Navone M. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Lehecka J. | Korda S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bu Y. (Q) | Musetti L. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Rune H. (RET.) (10) | Borges N. | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Sonego L. | Martinez P. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Thompson J. | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Tsitsipas S. (6) | |
| 9 | Djokovic N. (3) | Bye | |
| 10 | Wawrinka S. (WC) | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Struff J-L. | Vacherot V. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Jarry N. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Medvedev D. (9) | Khachanov K. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Muller A. | Ugo Carabelli C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Machac T. | Baez S. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (8) | |
| 17 | Draper J. (5) | Bye | |
| 18 | Giron M. | Shapovalov D. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Etcheverry T. M. | Moutet C. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Shelton B. (11) | 2 : 1 |
| 21 | Tiafoe F. (14) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Popyrin A. | Humbert U. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Bautista-Agut R. | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Ruud C. (4) | |
| 25 | Rublev A. (7) | Bye | |
| 26 | Monfils G. | Marozsan F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Lajovic D. (Q) | Cobolli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Griekspoor T. | Fils A. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Auger-Aliassime F. (16) | Altmaier D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Arnaldi M. | Gasquet R. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Fognini F. (WC) | Cerundolo F. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Berrettini M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Lehecka J. | Musetti L. (13) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Borges N. | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Thompson J. | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Djokovic N. (3) | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Vacherot V. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Medvedev D. (9) | Muller A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Machac T. | De Minaur A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Draper J. (5) | Giron M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Etcheverry T. M. | Davidovich Fokina A. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Tiafoe F. (14) | Popyrin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bautista-Agut R. | Ruud C. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rublev A. (7) | Monfils G. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Cobolli F. | Fils A. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Altmaier D. | Gasquet R. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Cerundolo F. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Berrettini M. | Musetti L. (13) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Borges N. | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. | Dimitrov G. (15) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Medvedev D. (9) | De Minaur A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Draper J. (5) | Davidovich Fokina A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Rublev A. (7) | Fils A. (12) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Altmaier D. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | Tsitsipas S. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Dimitrov G. (15) | De Minaur A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Fils A. (12) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | De Minaur A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Musetti L. (13) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 2 |
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