Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
18/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Doha, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
34
Double Faults
41
1st serve percentage
65%75%
1st serve points won
69% (27/39)80% (36/45)
2nd serve points won
48% (10/21)53% (8/15)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)0% (0/0)
1st return points won
20% (9/45)31% (12/39)
2nd return points won
47% (7/15)52% (11/21)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)29% (2/7)
Winners
1827
Unforced errors
1620
Net points won
50% (7/14)94% (16/17)
Service Points Won
62% (37/60)73% (44/60)
Return Points Won
27% (16/60)38% (23/60)
Total Points Won
44% (53/120)56% (67/120)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
78% (7/9)100% (10/10)
Return games won
0% (0/10)22% (2/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Daniil Medvedev
71.6%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.7% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniil Medvedev's performance.
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefanos Tsitsipas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Medvedev that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefanos Tsitsipas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.5)

    3.33
    (2.63)
    4.6%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3.5 Games - Tsitsipas (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tsitsipas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Medvedev is ranked ATP: 11. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 33.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 3.
    • Recent performances by Medvedev have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tsitsipas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Medvedev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Medvedev could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:14. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas were as follows:
    09.10.2024 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniil Medvedev 0:2
    28.10.2023 Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas 2:0
    20.05.2023 Daniil Medvedev - Stefanos Tsitsipas 2:0
    16.11.2022 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniil Medvedev 2:1
    Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    2Royer V.Herbert P. (Q)2 : 0
    3Fucsovics M.Habib H. (WC)2 : 0
    4Mochizuki S.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (4)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Echargui M. (WC)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    7Humbert U.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    8De Jong J.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    9Lehecka J. (8)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    10Bergs Z.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    11Fils A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    12Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Halys Q. (LL)1 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Choinski J. (Q)2 : 1
    14Zhang Z. (PR)Carballes Baena R. (Q)2 : 0
    15Zayid M. S. (WC)Popyrin A.0 : 2
    16Machac T.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Royer V.2 : 0
    2Fucsovics M.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (4)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    4Marozsan F.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5Lehecka J. (8)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    6Fils A.Halys Q.2 : 0
    7Mensik J. (6)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    8Popyrin A.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Khachanov K. (7)2 : 1
    2Tsitsipas S.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3Lehecka J. (8)Fils A.0 : 2
    4Mensik J. (6)Sinner J. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rublev A. (5)2 : 0
    2Fils A.Mensik J. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A.2 : 0