Luke Humphries vs Danny Noppert – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
01/02/2026 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PDC World Masters - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


Luke Humphries
68.4%
Danny Noppert
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luke Humphries has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Danny Noppert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Humphries than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luke Humphries that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danny Noppert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luke Humphries - Danny Noppert Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.38)

    2.96
    (2.75)
    7.2%
    (8.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Humphries is ranked World Ranking: 2. Noppert is ranked World Ranking: 10.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 5.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Noppert may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Humphries might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Humphries won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:26. (average 5.7:4.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luke Humphries - Danny Noppert were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Danny Noppert - Luke Humphries 8:11
    11.10.2025 Luke Humphries - Danny Noppert 5:3
    02.02.2025 Luke Humphries - Danny Noppert 5:2
    01.04.2024 Danny Noppert - Luke Humphries 2:6
    Latest results of Luke Humphries
    Latest results of Danny Noppert
    Draw
    Main

    1/16-finals
    1Littler L. (1)De Decker M.3 : 2
    2Smith R. (16)van Schie J. (Q)3 : 1
    3Searle R. (8)Cross R.1 : 3
    4Rock J. (9)Scutt C. (Q)3 : 1
    5van Gerwen M. (4)Heta D.1 : 3
    6Dobey C. (13)Wattimena J.3 : 0
    7Clayton J. (5)Nijman W. (Q)3 : 1
    8Price G. (12)Hurrell J. (Q)3 : 0
    9Humphries L. (2)Chisnall D.3 : 1
    10Schindler M. (15)Woodhouse L.0 : 3
    11Bunting S. (7)de Graaf J. (Q)3 : 1
    12Noppert D. (10)Gurney D.3 : 1
    13van Veen G. (3)Joyce R.3 : 1
    14Aspinall N. (14)McGuirk S. (Q)3 : 1
    15Anderson G. (6)Zonneveld N. (Q)3 : 2
    16Wade J. (11)Razma M. (Q)3 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Littler L. (1)Smith R. (16)4 : 1
    2Cross R.Rock J. (9)1 : 4
    3Heta D.Dobey C. (13)3 : 4
    4Clayton J. (5)Price G. (12)3 : 4
    5Humphries L. (2)Woodhouse L.4 : 3
    6Bunting S. (7)Noppert D. (10)0 : 4
    7van Veen G. (3)Aspinall N. (14)4 : 2
    8Anderson G. (6)Wade J. (11)3 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Littler L. (1)Rock J. (9)4 : 0
    2Dobey C. (13)Price G. (12)2 : 4
    3Humphries L. (2)Noppert D. (10)4 : 0
    4van Veen G. (3)Wade J. (11)4 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Littler L. (1)Price G. (12)5 : 4
    2Humphries L. (2)van Veen G. (3)5 : 0

    Final
    1Littler L. (1)Humphries L. (2)