Result
5:6
21/09/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- European Tour 12 - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Chances of winning
Michael Van Gerwen
70.8% | Danny Noppert
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Michael Van Gerwen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michael Van Gerwen's performance.Danny Noppert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Danny Noppert might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Van Gerwen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danny Noppert than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danny Noppert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.45) |
|
3.99 ↑
(2.75) |
3.5%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
Preview Facts
- Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3. Noppert is ranked World Ranking: 15.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 4.
- Van Gerwen has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Noppert has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Van Gerwen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Van Gerwen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 48:33. (average 5.3:3.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Michael Van Gerwen won against Danny Noppert?
Michael Van Gerwen has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Danny Noppert won against Michael Van Gerwen?
Danny Noppert has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Michael Van Gerwen - Danny Noppert were as follows:
14.09.2024
Michael Van Gerwen
-
Danny Noppert
6:3
01.09.2024
Danny Noppert
-
Michael Van Gerwen
2:6
26.05.2024
Danny Noppert
-
Michael Van Gerwen
1:6
27.11.2022
Danny Noppert
-
Michael Van Gerwen
7:10
Latest results of Michael Van Gerwen
Latest results of Danny Noppert
Draw
20251/32-finals| 1 | Dobey C. (6) | Bye | |
| 2 | Nijman W. | Beveridge D. | 2 : 6 |
| 3 | Smith R. (11) | Bye | |
| 4 | Menzies C. | Pres N. | 6 : 1 |
| 5 | van Gerwen M. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Gilding A. | Dennant M. | 4 : 6 |
| 7 | Noppert D. (14) | Bye | |
| 8 | Searle R. | Owen R. | 5 : 6 |
| 9 | Price G. (7) | Bye | |
| 10 | Veenstra R. | Crabtree C. | 6 : 3 |
| 11 | Chisnall D. (10) | Bye | |
| 12 | van Barneveld R. | Major N. | 6 : 2 |
| 13 | Littler L. (2) | Bye | |
| 14 | Cullen J. | Wenig L. | 6 : 5 |
| 15 | Schindler M. (15) | Bye | |
| 16 | Joyce R. | Edhouse R. | 6 : 2 |
| 17 | Wade J. (5) | Bye | |
| 18 | Woodhouse L. | Borbely A. | 6 : 4 |
| 19 | Wright P. (12) | Bye | |
| 20 | Huybrechts K. | Hyllgaardhus A. | 6 : 2 |
| 21 | Bunting S. (4) | Bye | |
| 22 | Wattimena J. | Tricole T. | 5 : 6 |
| 23 | Rock J. (13) | Bye | |
| 24 | Pietreczko R. | Williams J. | 6 : 1 |
| 25 | Cross R. (8) | Bye | |
| 26 | Gurney D. | Weber L. | 6 : 1 |
| 27 | Heta D. (9) | Bye | |
| 28 | van Veen G. | Springer N. | 3 : 6 |
| 29 | Humphries L. (1) | Bye | |
| 30 | Aspinall N. | Sarai L. | 6 : 0 |
| 31 | De Decker M. (16) | Bye | |
| 32 | van Duijvenbode D. | Bissell T. | 5 : 6 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Dobey C. (6) | Beveridge D. | 6 : 3 |
| 2 | Smith R. (11) | Menzies C. | 4 : 6 |
| 3 | van Gerwen M. (3) | Dennant M. | 6 : 2 |
| 4 | Noppert D. (14) | Owen R. | 6 : 5 |
| 5 | Price G. (7) | Veenstra R. | 6 : 2 |
| 6 | Chisnall D. (10) | van Barneveld R. | 1 : 6 |
| 7 | Littler L. (2) | Cullen J. | 6 : 1 |
| 8 | Schindler M. (15) | Joyce R. | 6 : 2 |
| 9 | Wade J. (5) | Woodhouse L. | 6 : 3 |
| 10 | Wright P. (12) | Huybrechts K. | 5 : 6 |
| 11 | Bunting S. (4) | Tricole T. | 5 : 6 |
| 12 | Rock J. (13) | Pietreczko R. | 6 : 3 |
| 13 | Cross R. (8) | Gurney D. | 6 : 3 |
| 14 | Heta D. (9) | Springer N. | 1 : 6 |
| 15 | Humphries L. (1) | Aspinall N. | 6 : 4 |
| 16 | De Decker M. (16) | Bissell T. | 6 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Dobey C. (6) | Menzies C. | 6 : 5 |
| 2 | van Gerwen M. (3) | Noppert D. (14) | 5 : 6 |
| 3 | Price G. (7) | van Barneveld R. | 6 : 2 |
| 4 | Littler L. (2) | Schindler M. (15) | 6 : 2 |
| 5 | Wade J. (5) | Huybrechts K. | 6 : 2 |
| 6 | Tricole T. | Rock J. (13) | 3 : 6 |
| 7 | Cross R. (8) | Springer N. | 3 : 6 |
| 8 | Humphries L. (1) | De Decker M. (16) | 6 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Dobey C. (6) | Noppert D. (14) | 2 : 6 |
| 2 | Price G. (7) | Littler L. (WO.) (2) | |
| 3 | Wade J. (5) | Rock J. (13) | 2 : 6 |
| 4 | Springer N. | Humphries L. (1) | 6 : 4 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Noppert D. (14) | Littler L. (2) | |
| 2 | Rock J. (13) | Springer N. | |
Final
