Daria Saville vs Varvara Lepchenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Merida Daria Saville - Varvara Lepchenko
Result
2:0
23/02/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida (Mexico) - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
70%57%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (24/33)42% (10/24)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (8/14)33% (6/18)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
58% (14/24)27% (9/33)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (12/18)43% (6/14)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)25% (1/4)
Service Points Won
68% (32/47)38% (16/42)
Return Points Won
62% (26/42)32% (15/47)
Total Points Won
65% (58/89)35% (31/89)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
88% (7/8)29% (2/7)
Return Games Won
71% (5/7)13% (1/8)
Total Games Won
80% (12/15)20% (3/15)

Chances of winning


Daria Saville
64.6%
Varvara Lepchenko
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daria Saville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daria Saville's performance.
  • Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varvara Lepchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daria Saville than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daria Saville that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Lepchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Daria Saville - Varvara Lepchenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.75)

    2.65
    (2.02)
    6.9%
    (6.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Saville is ranked WTA: 122. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 124.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Saville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Daria Saville
    Latest results of Varvara Lepchenko
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Navarro E. (1)Bye
    2Stephens S. (WC)Martic P. (Q)0 : 2
    3Linette M.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    4Sonmez Z. (WC)Sakkari M. (8)2 : 0
    5Vekic D. (5)Bye
    6Joint M. (Q)Grabher J.2 : 0
    7Bouzas Maneiro J.Jamrichova R. (WC)2 : 1
    8Avanesyan E.Frech M. (7)2 : 1
    9Carle M. L. (LL)Arango E. (Q)0 : 2
    10Sherif M. (RET.)Jones F. (Q)0 : 1
    11Sramkova R.Sun L.2 : 0
    12ByeHaddad Maia B. (3)
    13Kostyuk M. (6)Saville D. (Q)0 : 2
    14Kalinina A.Jeanjean L. (Q)2 : 1
    15Cristian J.Starodubtseva Y. (RET.) (Alt)1 : 0
    16ByeBadosa P. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Navarro E. (1)Martic P.2 : 0
    2Linette M. (RET.)Sonmez Z.0 : 1
    3Vekic D. (5)Joint M.0 : 2
    4Bouzas Maneiro J.Avanesyan E.0 : 2
    5Arango E.Jones F. (RET.)1 : 1
    6Sramkova R.Haddad Maia B. (3)2 : 0
    7Saville D.Kalinina A.2 : 1
    8Cristian J.Badosa P. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Navarro E. (1)Sonmez Z.2 : 0
    2Joint M.Avanesyan E.1 : 2
    3Arango E.Sramkova R.2 : 1
    4Saville D.Badosa P. (RET.) (2)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Navarro E. (1)Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    2Arango E.Saville D.2 : 1

    Final
    1Navarro E. (1)Arango E.2 : 0