Daria Snigur vs Maria Lourdes Carle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
29
1st Serve Percentage
84%74%
1st Serve Points Won
51% (48/94)55% (47/85)
2nd Serve Points Won
28% (5/18)30% (9/30)
Break Points Saved
50% (9/18)40% (6/15)
1st Return Points Won
45% (38/85)49% (46/94)
2nd Return Points Won
70% (21/30)72% (13/18)
Break Points Converted
60% (9/15)50% (9/18)
Service Points Won
47% (53/112)49% (56/115)
Return Points Won
51% (59/115)53% (59/112)
Total Points Won
49% (112/227)51% (115/227)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
47% (8/17)47% (8/17)
Return Games Won
53% (9/17)53% (9/17)
Total Games Won
50% (17/34)50% (17/34)

Chances of winning


Daria Snigur
25.8%
Maria Lourdes Carle
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.7% 66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 65.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daria Snigur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daria Snigur's form might have worsened.
  • Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Lourdes Carle's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daria Snigur than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daria Snigur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Daria Snigur - Maria Lourdes Carle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.64
    (2.77)

    1.26
    (1.41)
    6.7%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Daria Snigur - Maria Lourdes Carle?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Snigur will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Carle will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Snigur is ranked WTA: 139. Carle is ranked WTA: 118.
    • Snigur is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Carle is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Snigur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Carle is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Daria Snigur
    18.04.2025 Daria Snigur - Anna-Lena Friedsam Snigur D. retired
    16.04.2025 Daria Snigur - Lisa Zaar 2:0
    19.03.2025 Daria Snigur - Alja Senica 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Stearns P.Boisson L.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCristian J. (29)
    5Bouzkova M. (23)Bye
    6Kalinina A. (Q)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    7Zakharova A.Osorio C.0 : 2
    8ByeOsaka N. (14)
    9Bencic B. (11)Bye
    10Marcinko P.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    12ByeShnaider D. (18)
    13Baptiste H. (30)Bye
    14Quevedo K. (WC)Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    15Siegemund L.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (8)
    17Swiatek I. (4)Bye
    18Snigur D. (Q)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    19Parks A. (Q)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    20ByeLi A. (31)
    21Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    22Badosa P. (WC)Grabher J.1 : 2
    23Montgomery R. (WC)Linette M.0 : 2
    24ByeJovic I. (15)
    25Andreeva M. (9)Bye
    26Udvardy P. (LL)Birrell K.2 : 1
    27Galfi D. (Q)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    28ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    29Wang Xin. (28)Bye
    30Maria T.Samson L. (WC)0 : 2
    31Bondar A.Golubic V.2 : 0
    32ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Townsend T.Boulter K.0 : 2
    35Putintseva Y.Valentova T.2 : 1
    36ByeKostyuk M. (26)
    37Blinkova A. (Alt)Bye
    38Kalieva E. (Q)Siniakova K.0 : 2
    39McNally C.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeMboko V. (10)
    41Noskova L. (13)Bye
    42Gibson T.Arango E. (WC)0 : 2
    43Tjen J.Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeSamsonova L. (20)
    45Cirstea S. (25)Bye
    46Jacquemot E.Grant T. C. (Q)0 : 2
    47Selekhmeteva O.Jeanjean L. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (3)
    49Frech M. (34)Bye
    50Yastremska D.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Sonmez Z.Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeBucsa C. (27)
    53Mertens E. (19)Bye
    54Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q)Eala A.0 : 2
    55Pliskova Ka.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 1
    56ByeSakkari M. (33)
    57Potapova A. (LL)Bye
    58Zhang S.Lys E.2 : 0
    59Oliynykova O.Waltert S. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (21)
    61Zheng Q. (32)Bye
    62Krueger A.Kenin S.0 : 2
    63Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 1
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.2 : 0
    2Starodubtseva Y.Cristian J. (29)1 : 2
    3Bouzkova M. (23)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    4Osorio C.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (11)Marcinko P.2 : 0
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Shnaider D. (18)1 : 2
    7Baptiste H. (30)Quevedo K.2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Paolini J. (8)1 : 2
    9Swiatek I. (4)Snigur D.2 : 0
    10Parks A.Li A. (31)1 : 2
    11Fernandez L. (24)Grabher J.2 : 0
    12Linette M.Jovic I. (15)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (9)Udvardy P.2 : 0
    14Galfi D.Kalinskaya A. (22)2 : 0
    15Wang Xin. (28)Samson L.1 : 2
    16Bondar A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    17Pegula J. (5)Boulter K.2 : 0
    18Putintseva Y.Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    19Blinkova A.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    20McNally C.Mboko V. (10)2 : 0
    21Noskova L. (13)Arango E.2 : 0
    22Tjen J.Samsonova L. (20)0 : 2
    23Cirstea S. (25)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    24Jeanjean L.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Frech M. (34)Sierra S.0 : 2
    26Sonmez Z.Bucsa C. (27)2 : 1
    27Mertens E. (19)Eala A.2 : 0
    28Pliskova Ka.Sakkari M. (33)2 : 0
    29Potapova A.Zhang S.2 : 0
    30Waltert S.Ostapenko J. (21)0 : 2
    31Zheng Q. (32)Kenin S.2 : 1
    32Ruse G.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J. (29)2 : 0
    2Kalinina A.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    3Bencic B. (11)Shnaider D. (18)2 : 0
    4Baptiste H. (30)Paolini J. (8)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (RET.) (4)Li A. (31)1 : 1
    6Fernandez L. (24)Jovic I. (15)2 : 1
    7Andreeva M. (9)Galfi D.2 : 0
    8Samson L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    10Siniakova K.McNally C.1 : 2
    11Noskova L. (WO.) (13)Samsonova L. (20)
    12Cirstea S. (25)Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    13Sierra S.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    14Mertens E. (19)Pliskova Ka.1 : 2
    15Potapova A.Ostapenko J. (21)2 : 1
    16Zheng Q. (32)Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osaka N. (14)
    2Bencic B. (11)Baptiste H. (30)
    3Li A. (31)Fernandez L. (24)
    4Andreeva M. (9)Bondar A.
    5Kostyuk M. (26)McNally C.
    6Noskova L. (13)Gauff C. (3)
    7Sierra S.Pliskova Ka.
    8Potapova A.Rybakina E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2