Darja Semenistaja vs Lisa Pigato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/04/2026 at 07:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
04
1st serve percentage
61%75%
1st serve points won
59% (27/46)68% (44/65)
2nd serve points won
34% (10/29)36% (8/22)
Break Points Saved
6/120/4
1st return points won
32% (21/65)43% (20/46)
2nd return points won
64% (14/22)66% (19/29)
Break Points Converted
4/46/12
Service Points Won
49% (37/75)59% (51/86)
Return Points Won
41% (35/86)51% (38/75)
Total Points Won
45% (72/161)55% (89/161)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
20
Service games won
54% (7/13)71% (10/14)
Return games won
29% (4/14)46% (6/13)
Total games won
41% (11/27)59% (16/27)

Chances of winning


Darja Semenistaja
60.6%
Lisa Pigato
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darja Semenistaja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darja Semenistaja's performance.
  • Lisa Pigato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lisa Pigato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darja Semenistaja that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lisa Pigato than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lisa Pigato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Darja Semenistaja - Lisa Pigato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.75)

    2.38
    (2.02)
    6.5%
    (6.6%)
    What is the prediction for Darja Semenistaja - Lisa Pigato?
  • Users Predictions: Darja Semenistaja will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Darja Semenistaja will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 98. Pigato is ranked WTA: 187.
    • In recent matches, Semenistaja has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pigato is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Pigato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Darja Semenistaja
    Latest results of Lisa Pigato