Maria Lourdes Carle vs Darja Semenistaja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Bastad Challenger Women Maria Lourdes Carle - Darja Semenistaja
Result
0:2
07/07/2025 at 09:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
10
1st Serve Percentage
81%70%
1st Serve Points Won
46% (22/48)73% (19/26)
2nd Serve Points Won
18% (2/11)64% (7/11)
Break Points Saved
14% (1/7)0% (0/2)
1st Return Points Won
27% (7/26)56% (27/48)
2nd Return Points Won
36% (4/11)82% (9/11)
Break Points Converted
100% (2/2)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
41% (24/59)70% (26/37)
Return Points Won
30% (11/37)59% (35/59)
Total Points Won
36% (35/96)64% (61/96)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
25% (2/8)75% (6/8)
Return Games Won
25% (2/8)75% (6/8)
Total Games Won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Maria Lourdes Carle
54.5%
Darja Semenistaja
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.5% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Lourdes Carle's form might have worsened.
  • Darja Semenistaja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darja Semenistaja's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Darja Semenistaja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maria Lourdes Carle - Darja Semenistaja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.53)

    2.06
    (2.44)
    6.6%
    (6.6%)
    What is the prediction for Maria Lourdes Carle - Darja Semenistaja?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Carle will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Semenistaja will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Carle: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carle (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carle is ranked WTA: 123. Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 128.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Semenistaja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Carle will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maria Lourdes Carle - Darja Semenistaja were as follows:
    03.04.2025 Darja Semenistaja - Maria Lourdes Carle 2:0
    Latest results of Maria Lourdes Carle
    Latest results of Darja Semenistaja
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Bronzetti L. (1)Bajraliu L. (WC)2 : 0
    2Niemeier J.Hibino N.2 : 0
    3Korpatsch T.Barthel M.1 : 2
    4Udvardy P.Ruzic A. (6)1 : 2
    5Uchijima M. (3)Chirico L.0 : 2
    6Fett J.Makarova E.2 : 1
    7Rinaldo Persson K. (WC)Mikulskyte J.0 : 2
    8Burillo Escorihuela I.Cocciaretto E. (8)1 : 2
    9Galfi D. (7)Juvan K.2 : 0
    10Romero Gormaz L.Grabher J.2 : 0
    11Sharma A.Trevisan M.1 : 2
    12Kawa K.Parrizas-Diaz N. (4)2 : 1
    13Sherif M. (5)Hennemann C. W. (WC)2 : 1
    14Cengiz B.Lepchenko V.0 : 2
    15Carle M. L.Semenistaja D.0 : 2
    16Paquet C.Boisson L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bronzetti L. (1)Niemeier J.2 : 1
    2Barthel M.Ruzic A. (6)1 : 2
    3Chirico L.Fett J.2 : 1
    4Mikulskyte J.Cocciaretto E. (8)0 : 2
    5Galfi D. (7)Romero Gormaz L.2 : 1
    6Trevisan M.Kawa K.0 : 2
    7Sherif M. (5)Lepchenko V.2 : 0
    8Semenistaja D.Boisson L. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Bronzetti L. (1)Ruzic A. (6)0 : 2
    2Chirico L.Cocciaretto E. (8)1 : 2
    3Galfi D. (RET.) (7)Kawa K.0 : 0
    4Sherif M. (5)Semenistaja D.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Ruzic A. (6)Cocciaretto E. (8)0 : 2
    2Kawa K.Sherif M. (5)2 : 1

    Final
    1Cocciaretto E. (8)Kawa K.2 : 0