Mary Stoiana vs Darja Vidmanova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Austin, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
63%72%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (30/45)62% (37/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (17/27)39% (9/23)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
38% (23/60)36% (16/45)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (14/23)37% (10/27)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
65% (47/72)55% (46/83)
Return Points Won
45% (37/83)35% (25/72)
Total Points Won
54% (84/155)46% (71/155)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)62% (8/13)
Return Games Won
38% (5/13)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
56% (15/27)44% (12/27)

Chances of winning


Mary Stoiana
25.5%
Darja Vidmanova
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 63.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mary Stoiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mary Stoiana's form might have worsened.
  • Darja Vidmanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darja Vidmanova's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mary Stoiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Vidmanova than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Darja Vidmanova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mary Stoiana - Darja Vidmanova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.26
    (2.63)

    1.33
    (1.44)
    -1%
    (7.5%)
    What is the prediction for Mary Stoiana - Darja Vidmanova?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vidmanova will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Stoiana is ranked WTA: 326. Vidmanova is ranked WTA: 142.
    • Stoiana is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Vidmanova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Vidmanova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vidmanova might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stoiana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mary Stoiana - Darja Vidmanova were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Darja Vidmanova - Mary Stoiana 2:0
    11.10.2024 Darja Vidmanova - Mary Stoiana 1:2
    Latest results of Mary Stoiana
    Latest results of Darja Vidmanova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Jovic I. (1)Friedsam A-L.2 : 0
    2Brace C.Gasanova A.1 : 2
    3Shymanovich I.Cross K.1 : 2
    4Stoiana M.Vidmanova D. (8)2 : 1
    5Dolehide C. (4)Stakusic M.0 : 2
    6Jackson J. (WC)Lewis M. (Q)0 : 2
    7McNeil C. (Q)Lepchenko V.0 : 2
    8Chirico L.Marcinko P. (5)2 : 0
    9Rus A. (6)Rogers A. S.2 : 0
    10Mandlik E.Wolff V. (Q)2 : 0
    11Hontama M.Liu C. (Q)1 : 2
    12Inoue H.Zarazua R. (3)0 : 2
    13Osuigwe W. (7)Koevermans A.0 : 2
    14Smith A.Herea C. A. (WC)0 : 2
    15Sakatsume H.Belgraver J.2 : 0
    16Rapolu M. (WC)Parks A. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Jovic I. (1)Gasanova A.2 : 1
    2Cross K. (RET.)Stoiana M.0 : 1
    3Stakusic M.Lewis M.2 : 0
    4Lepchenko V.Chirico L.2 : 0
    5Rus A. (6)Mandlik E.0 : 2
    6Liu C.Zarazua R. (3)1 : 2
    7Koevermans A.Herea C. A.0 : 2
    8Sakatsume H.Rapolu M.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Jovic I. (1)Stoiana M.2 : 0
    2Stakusic M.Lepchenko V.2 : 0
    3Mandlik E.Zarazua R. (3)0 : 2
    4Herea C. A.Rapolu M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Jovic I. (1)Stakusic M.0 : 2
    2Zarazua R. (3)Herea C. A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Stakusic M.Zarazua R. (3)1 : 2