Result
3:1
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Allan T. ⚽,
- 18', 2 - 0, Main C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', 2 - 1, Cummings J. ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, McGowan W. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Darlington
49% | Draw
24.7% | Alfreton Town
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darlington's form might have worsened.Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alfreton Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darlington, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alfreton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Darlington - Alfreton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.52) |
3.72 ↓
(4.43) |
3.51 ↓
(5.18) |
8.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Darlington - Alfreton Town?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 2.
- Recent performances by Darlington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Alfreton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Darlington could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Darlington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Darlington won against Alfreton Town?
Darlington has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alfreton Town won against Darlington?
Alfreton Town has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Darlington - Alfreton Town were as follows:
16.08.2025
Alfreton Town
-
Darlington
0:3
18.03.2025
Alfreton Town
-
Darlington
1:1
03.09.2024
Darlington
-
Alfreton Town
0:0
10.02.2024
Darlington
-
Alfreton Town
0:2
26.08.2023
Alfreton Town
-
Darlington
2:3
Latest results of Darlington
Latest results of Alfreton Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 39 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 94:42 | 52 | 85 |
| 2 | South Shields | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 85:36 | 49 | 84 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 54:39 | 15 | 66 |
| 4 | Merthyr Town | 40 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 87:73 | 14 | 66 |
| 5 | Darlington | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 71:53 | 18 | 65 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | 37 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 68:55 | 13 | 64 |
| 7 | Scarborough | 40 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 55:47 | 8 | 62 |
| 8 | AFC Telford | 40 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 77:54 | 23 | 60 |
| 9 | Buxton | 39 | 17 | 6 | 16 | 65:53 | 12 | 57 |
| 10 | Chester | 40 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 58:62 | -4 | 57 |
| 11 | Radcliffe | 39 | 17 | 5 | 17 | 65:63 | 2 | 56 |
| 12 | Marine | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 51:55 | -4 | 55 |
| 13 | Spennymoor | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 52:63 | -11 | 54 |
| 14 | Southport | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 55:61 | -6 | 51 |
| 15 | Chorley | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 60:59 | 1 | 49 |
| 16 | Curzon Ashton | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 59:74 | -15 | 47 |
| 17 | Worksop | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 52:69 | -17 | 47 |
| 18 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 39 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 47:53 | -6 | 46 |
| 19 | Bedford | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 56:70 | -14 | 43 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 49:59 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Hereford | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 48:63 | -15 | 38 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36:67 | -31 | 37 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 40 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 43:75 | -32 | 37 |
| 24 | Leamington | 39 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 28:70 | -42 | 23 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
