Holstein Kiel vs Darmstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Holstein-Stadion (Kiel).

2. Bundesliga - Round 8
Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Uno
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.36	0.61
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
22	8
Shots on target
7	1
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
5	0
Passes
86% (476/553)	76% (277/366)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36	0.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.57	0.38
Total shots
22	8
Shots on target
7	1
Shots off target
11	6
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
11	6
Shots outside the Box
11	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
5	0
Touches in opposition box
27	12
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
13	9
Passes
86% (476/553)	76% (277/366)
Long passes
50% (27/54)	38% (30/78)
Passes in final third
72% (77/107)	69% (61/89)
Crosses
23% (7/30)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.14	0.79
Throw-ins
21	18
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
83% (5/6)	36% (5/14)
Duels won
46	47
Clearances
16	30
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.38	2.57
Goals prevented
-0.62	1.57

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Nurnberger F. ↓, Klassen L. ↑,
34', Johansson C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Lidberg I. ⚽, Richter M. (A),
57', Schuhen M. 🟨,
62', Knudsen M. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
62', Tolkin J. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Zec D. ⚽, Bernhardsson A. (A),
69', Richter M. ↓, Maglica M. ↑,
69', Boetius J-P. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
74', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
87', Harres P. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
87', Skrzybski S. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
90+2', Lopez S. ↓, Marseiler L. ↑,
90+2', Lidberg I. ↓, Bialek B. ↑,

Chances of winning

Holstein Kiel
39%

Draw
26.9%

Darmstadt
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.5%

29.1%

Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.15)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	2.78 ↓ (3.1)	5.9% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 44.9% – 88.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Darmstadt will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 1.
Recent performances by Holstein Kiel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Darmstadt is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Darmstadt: Nurnberger F. (Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Darmstadt?

Holstein Kiel has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against Holstein Kiel?

Darmstadt has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt were as follows:

06.01.2024 Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel 1:2

21.10.2022 Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel 1:1

Latest results of Holstein Kiel

27.09.2025 Elversberg - Holstein Kiel 1:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher 3:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺

03.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Holstein Kiel - Hannover 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Darmstadt

26.09.2025 Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden 2:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt 0:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Darmstadt - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Kaiserslautern - Darmstadt 3:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Darmstadt - Hertha Berlin 0:0 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	17	12	1	4	22:10	12	37
2	Elversberg	17	10	4	3	31:15	16	34
3	Darmstadt	17	9	6	2	29:17	12	33
4	Paderborn	17	10	3	4	28:18	10	33
5	Hannover	17	8	5	4	30:22	8	29
6	Hertha Berlin	17	8	4	5	21:16	5	28
7	Kaiserslautern	17	8	3	6	29:21	8	27
8	Nurnberg	17	6	4	7	19:23	-4	22
9	Karlsruher SC	17	6	4	7	25:33	-8	22
10	Bochum	17	6	3	8	23:22	1	21
11	Holstein Kiel	17	5	5	7	20:22	-2	20
12	Preussen Munster	17	5	5	7	22:26	-4	20
13	Braunschweig	17	6	2	9	20:29	-9	20
14	Arminia Bielefeld	17	5	4	8	27:24	3	19
15	Magdeburg	17	5	2	10	21:29	-8	17
16	Dusseldorf	17	5	2	10	15:27	-12	17
17	Greuther Furth	17	4	3	10	26:44	-18	15
18	SG Dynamo Dresden	17	3	4	10	24:34	-10	13

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga