Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 8
- Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Italy | Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Uno |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (476/553) | 76% (277/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (476/553) | 76% (277/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 38% (30/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (77/107) | 69% (61/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 2.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | 1.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Nurnberger F. ↓, Klassen L. ↑,
- 34', Johansson C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 0 - 1, Lidberg I. ⚽, Richter M. (A),
- 57', Schuhen M. 🟨,
- 62', Knudsen M. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
- 62', Tolkin J. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Zec D. ⚽, Bernhardsson A. (A),
- 69', Richter M. ↓, Maglica M. ↑,
- 69', Boetius J-P. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
- 74', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
- 87', Harres P. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
- 87', Skrzybski S. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
- 90+2', Lopez S. ↓, Marseiler L. ↑,
- 90+2', Lidberg I. ↓, Bialek B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Holstein Kiel
39% | Draw
26.9% | Darmstadt
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holstein Kiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-5%)
Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.15) |
3.51 ↑
(3.4) |
2.78 ↓
(3.1) |
5.9%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 44.9% – 88.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Darmstadt will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 1.
- Recent performances by Holstein Kiel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Darmstadt is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M.
(Ankle Injury)
Erras P.
(Concussion)
Kelati A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M.
(Knee Injury)
Will P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Darmstadt: Nurnberger F.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Darmstadt?
Holstein Kiel has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against Holstein Kiel?
Darmstadt has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt were as follows:
06.01.2024
Darmstadt
-
Holstein Kiel
1:2
21.10.2022
Darmstadt
-
Holstein Kiel
1:1
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
Latest results of Darmstadt
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Elversberg | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Schalke | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 18 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Hannover | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Holstein Kiel | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 | Preussen Munster | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Dusseldorf | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Nurnberg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Bochum | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8:15 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
