Result
2:0
07/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 25
- Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, ESPN |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (501/570) | 74% (196/266) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (501/570) | 74% (196/266) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (34/64) | 23% (10/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (100/139) | 63% (36/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.76 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Muller M. 🟨,
- 25', Muller M. 🟨,
- 26', Vukotic A. 🟨,
- 36', Schmidt N. 🟨,
- 44', Papela M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Papela M. ↓, Petretta R. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 0, Lidberg I. ⚽, Lopez S. (A),
- 52', 2 - 0, Schmidt N. ⚽, Marseiler L. (A),
- 54', Tohumcu U. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
- 54', Kelati A. ↓, Bernhardsson A. ↑,
- 68', Komenda M. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
- 80', Schmidt N. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
- 83', Therkelsen J. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
- 83', Kapralik A. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
- 83', Lakenmacher F. 🟨,
- 86', Marseiler L. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Lidberg I. ↓, Guler S. ↑,
- 90+2', Akiyama H. ↓, Holland F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Darmstadt
49.6% | Draw
25.1% | Holstein Kiel
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.88) |
3.74 ↑
(3.67) |
3.74 ↓
(3.77) |
6.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Darmstadt (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Darmstadt will win
(20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Darmstadt will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 2.
- Darmstadt has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Holstein Kiel is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Darmstadt might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M.
(Knee Injury)
Bialek B.
(Ankle Injury)
Nurnberger F.
(Injury)
Pfeiffer P.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P.
(Concussion)
Ivezic M.
(Yellow Cards)
Johansson C.
(Knee Injury)
Skrzybski S.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against Holstein Kiel?
Darmstadt has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Darmstadt?
Holstein Kiel has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
04.10.2025
Holstein Kiel
-
Darmstadt
1:1
06.01.2024
Darmstadt
-
Holstein Kiel
1:2
21.10.2022
Darmstadt
-
Holstein Kiel
1:1
Latest results of Darmstadt
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 38:24 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 47:29 | 18 | 51 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 45:31 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Darmstadt | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 49:30 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | Hannover | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 46:34 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 45:41 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 43:51 | -8 | 37 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Bochum | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 33 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 26:40 | -14 | 31 |
| 12 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 45:46 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 40:59 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 39:39 | 0 | 28 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 28 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 39:50 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 31:47 | -16 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
