Darmstadt vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
2:0
07/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 25
  • Referee: Aytekin D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.080.79
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
31
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
15
Passes
88% (501/570)74% (196/266)
Yellow cards
42
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.080.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.380.00
Total shots
157
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
102
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
63
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
3017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1312
Passes
88% (501/570)74% (196/266)
Long passes
53% (34/64)23% (10/43)
Passes in final third
72% (100/139)63% (36/57)
Crosses
50% (8/16)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.820.76
Throw ins
2416
Fouls
1213
Tackles
50% (7/14)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4538
Clearances
2023
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
00
xGOT faced
0.001.38
Goals prevented
0.00-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Muller M. 🟨,
  • 25', Muller M. 🟨,
  • 26', Vukotic A. 🟨,
  • 36', Schmidt N. 🟨,
  • 44', Papela M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Papela M. ↓, Petretta R. ↑,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Lidberg I. ⚽, Lopez S. (A),
  • 52', 2 - 0, Schmidt N. ⚽, Marseiler L. (A),
  • 54', Tohumcu U. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
  • 54', Kelati A. ↓, Bernhardsson A. ↑,
  • 68', Komenda M. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
  • 80', Schmidt N. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
  • 83', Therkelsen J. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
  • 83', Kapralik A. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
  • 83', Lakenmacher F. 🟨,
  • 86', Marseiler L. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
  • 90+2', Lidberg I. ↓, Guler S. ↑,
  • 90+2', Akiyama H. ↓, Holland F. ↑,

Chances of winning


Darmstadt
49.6%		Draw
25.1%		Holstein Kiel
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 25.5% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 25.1% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
    •

    Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.9 ↑
    (1.88)    		 3.74 ↑
    (3.67)    		 3.74 ↓
    (3.77)    		 6.2%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Darmstadt (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Darmstadt will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Darmstadt will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 2.
    • Darmstadt has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Holstein Kiel is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Darmstadt might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Bialek B. (Ankle Injury) Nurnberger F. (Injury) Pfeiffer P. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Ivezic M. (Yellow Cards) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Skrzybski S. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt 1:1
    06.01.2024 Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel 1:2
    21.10.2022 Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel 1:1
    Latest results of Darmstadt
    27.02.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt 3:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Eintracht Braunschweig - Darmstadt 2:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Darmstadt - Kaiserslautern 4:0 ✺
    01.02.2026 Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    28.02.2026 Holstein Kiel - Elversberg 1:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel 3:1 ✺
    15.02.2026 Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04 1:2 ✺
    08.02.2026 Hannover - Holstein Kiel 3:1 ✺
    04.02.2026 Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart 0:3 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke ✔ 32207549:282167
    2Paderborn31177754:381658
    3Hannover31169653:371657
    4Elversberg31168755:352056
    5Darmstadt311312655:401551
    6Hertha Berlin31139944:36848
    7Kaiserslautern321441449:47246
    8Holstein Kiel321181342:43-141
    9Nurnberg311181240:41-141
    10Bochum3210101246:45140
    11Karlsruher SC311171348:59-1140
    12SG Dynamo Dresden321081451:50138
    13Arminia Bielefeld32991447:48-136
    14Braunschweig32971634:52-1834
    15Dusseldorf321041830:49-1934
    16Magdeburg311031848:56-833
    17Greuther Furth31961644:65-2133
    18Preussen Munster316101534:54-2028

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