Darmstadt vs Nürnberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
2:0
23/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 19
  • Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2, Nova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport+
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyShowmax, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.050.89
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
55
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
26
Passes
82% (358/435)83% (386/463)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.050.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.610.48
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
27
Shots inside the box
814
Shots outside the box
25
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2442
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
78
Passes
82% (358/435)83% (386/463)
Long passes
44% (28/64)48% (15/31)
Passes in final third
72% (78/109)71% (101/142)
Crosses
21% (4/19)42% (8/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.88
Throw ins
2018
Fouls
87
Tackles
50% (13/26)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5256
Clearances
3224
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
52
xGOT faced
0.481.61
Goals prevented
0.48-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 60', 1 - 0, Akiyama H. ⚽,
  • 75', 2 - 0, Marseiler L. ⚽,
  • 76', Justvan J. ↓, Maboulou N. ↑,
  • 76', Porstner E. ↓, Janisch T. ↑,
  • 77', Papela M. 🟨,
  • 79', Marseiler L. ↓, Nurnberger F. ↑,
  • 79', Richter M. ↓, Schmidt N. ↑,
  • 84', Zoma M. A. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
  • 84', Lubach R. ↓, Biron M. ↑,
  • 87', Akiyama H. ↓, Vukotic A. ↑,
  • 90+5', Hornby F. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,

Chances of winning


Darmstadt
48.7%		Draw
26.1%		Nürnberg
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 25% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 24.5% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
    •

    Darmstadt - Nürnberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.93 ↑
    (1.77)    		 3.6 ↓
    (3.69)    		 3.74 ↓
    (4.05)    		 6.2%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Darmstadt - Nürnberg?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 22 - 71%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 55% – 87%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Nürnberg (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Darmstadt (1.65) (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Darmstadt (1.92) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Darmstadt (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Darmstadt (1.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Darmstadt (1.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Darmstadt (1.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Nürnberg (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Darmstadt could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Bialek B. (Ankle Injury) Corredor K. (Hip Injury)
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Grzywacz E. (Knee Injury) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury) Yilmaz B. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Nürnberg: Grimaldi A. (Health problems)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - Nürnberg were as follows:
    08.08.2025 Nürnberg - Darmstadt 0:1
    31.01.2025 Nürnberg - Darmstadt 1:0
    25.08.2024 Darmstadt - Nürnberg 1:1
    31.03.2023 Nürnberg - Darmstadt 0:1
    17.09.2022 Darmstadt - Nürnberg 2:0
    Latest results of Darmstadt
    18.01.2026 Bochum - Darmstadt 3:3 ✺
    06.01.2026 Darmstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden 0:1 ✺
    19.12.2025 Paderborn - Darmstadt 2:2 ✺
    14.12.2025 Darmstadt - Preußen Münster 1:0 ✺
    06.12.2025 Darmstadt - Karlsruher 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    17.01.2026 Nürnberg - Elversberg 3:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Nürnberg - Hannover 2:1 ✺
    14.12.2025 Schalke 04 - Nürnberg 1:0 ✺
    07.12.2025 Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth 2:2 ✺
    29.11.2025 Magdeburg - Nürnberg 3:0 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke24145534:211347
    2Paderborn24144640:271346
    3Darmstadt24129345:281745
    4Elversberg24136543:261745
    5Hannover24136542:301245
    6Kaiserslautern24114940:35537
    7Hertha Berlin24107734:29537
    8Karlsruher SC2496937:44-733
    9Nurnberg24861031:34-330
    10Bochum2478932:30229
    11Dusseldorf24841223:34-1128
    12Arminia Bielefeld24761136:33327
    13Preussen Munster24681029:36-726
    14SG Dynamo Dresden24671135:41-625
    15Holstein Kiel24671129:35-625
    16Braunschweig24741327:42-1525
    17Magdeburg24721535:47-1223
    18Greuther Furth24651335:55-2023

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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