Ulm 1846 vs Darmstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Donaustadion (Ulm).

2. Bundesliga - Round 27
Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.25	1.73
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
12	19
Shots on target
4	7
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
77% (256/332)	78% (275/351)
Yellow Cards
5	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25	1.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.11	1.74
Total shots
12	19
Shots on target
4	7
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
8	11
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
18	33
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
77% (256/332)	78% (275/351)
Long passes
29% (14/48)	49% (31/63)
Passes in final third
56% (53/95)	71% (89/125)
Crosses
46% (6/13)	29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.94	0.91
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
77% (10/13)	86% (12/14)
Duels won
46	50
Clearances Total
31	24
Interceptions
2	5
Errors leading to shot
3	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
1.74	1.11
Goals prevented
0.74	-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Roser L. ⚽, Allgeier B. (A),
57', 2 - 0, Batista Meier O. ⚽, Gaal T. (A),
62', Lopez S. ↓, Nurnberger F. ↑,
62', Boetius J-P. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
63', Papela M. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Lakenmacher F. ⚽, Bueno G. (A),
69', Keller A. 🟨,
75', Roser L. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
75', Brandt M. ↓, Hyrylainen L. ↑,
75', Bueno G. ↓, Forster P. ↑,
75', Papela M. ↓, Maglica M. ↑,
77', Hyrylainen L. 🟨,
81', Strompf P. ↓, Rosch R. ↑,
88', Higl F. 🟨,
90', Batista Meier O. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
90', Higl F. ↓, Kahvic A. ↑,
90+1', Kahvic A. 🟨,
90+4', Thiede N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Ulm 1846
32.4%

Draw
28.4%

Darmstadt
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

27.8%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.1%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.76)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	2.43 ↓ (2.48)	5.6% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 30.4% – 86.2%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 13).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Darmstadt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Ulm: Stoll L. (Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) El Idrissi O. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Hornby F. (Red Card) Klefisch K. (Groin Injury) Vilhelmsson O. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury) Zimmermann C. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Ulm: Geyer T. (Illness)
There are questionable in Darmstadt: Marseiler L. (Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Ulm won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

How many head-to-head matches has Ulm 1846 won against Darmstadt?

Ulm 1846 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against Ulm 1846?

Darmstadt has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt were as follows:

27.10.2024 Darmstadt - Ulm 1846 1:1

Latest results of Ulm 1846

20.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - 1860 München 2:0 ✺

16.03.2025 Karlsruher - Ulm 1846 0:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - Köln 0:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Ulm 1846 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Ulm 1846 - Elversberg 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Darmstadt

15.03.2025 Köln - Darmstadt 2:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Darmstadt - Karlsruher 3:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Magdeburg - Darmstadt 4:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Darmstadt - Schalke 04 2:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Darmstadt 1:0 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	27	15	7	5	38:24	14	52
2	Elversberg	27	15	6	6	47:29	18	51
3	Paderborn	27	15	6	6	45:31	14	51
4	Darmstadt	27	13	11	3	49:30	19	50
5	Hannover	27	14	7	6	46:34	12	49
6	Hertha Berlin	27	12	8	7	42:33	9	44
7	Kaiserslautern	27	12	4	11	45:41	4	40
8	Karlsruher SC	27	10	7	10	43:51	-8	37
9	Nurnberg	27	10	6	11	37:37	0	36
10	Bochum	27	8	9	10	38:36	2	33
11	Dusseldorf	27	9	4	14	26:40	-14	31
12	SG Dynamo Dresden	27	7	8	12	45:46	-1	29
13	Braunschweig	27	8	5	14	29:44	-15	29
14	Greuther Furth	27	8	5	14	40:59	-19	29
15	Arminia Bielefeld	27	7	7	13	39:39	0	28
16	Holstein Kiel	27	7	7	13	34:42	-8	28
17	Magdeburg	27	8	3	16	39:50	-11	27
18	Preussen Munster	27	6	8	13	31:47	-16	26

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