Ulm 1846 vs Darmstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Football German 2 Bundesliga Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt
Result
2:1
28/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 27
  • Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.73
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
77% (256/332)78% (275/351)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.251.73
xG on target (xGOT)
1.111.74
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1833
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1213
Passes
77% (256/332)78% (275/351)
Long passes
29% (14/48)49% (31/63)
Passes in final third
56% (53/95)71% (89/125)
Crosses
46% (6/13)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.91
Fouls
1312
Tackles
77% (10/13)86% (12/14)
Duels won
4650
Clearances Total
3124
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
62
xGOT faced
1.741.11
Goals prevented
0.74-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 0, Roser L. ⚽, Allgeier B. (A),
  • 57', 2 - 0, Batista Meier O. ⚽, Gaal T. (A),
  • 62', Lopez S. ↓, Nurnberger F. ↑,
  • 62', Boetius J-P. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
  • 63', Papela M. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Lakenmacher F. ⚽, Bueno G. (A),
  • 69', Keller A. 🟨,
  • 75', Roser L. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
  • 75', Brandt M. ↓, Hyrylainen L. ↑,
  • 75', Bueno G. ↓, Forster P. ↑,
  • 75', Papela M. ↓, Maglica M. ↑,
  • 77', Hyrylainen L. 🟨,
  • 81', Strompf P. ↓, Rosch R. ↑,
  • 88', Higl F. 🟨,
  • 90', Batista Meier O. ↓, Krattenmacher M. ↑,
  • 90', Higl F. ↓, Kahvic A. ↑,
  • 90+1', Kahvic A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Thiede N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ulm 1846
32.4%		Draw
28.4%		Darmstadt
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 27.8% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 29.1% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
    •

    Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.91 ↑
    (2.76)    		 3.32 ↓
    (3.4)    		 2.43 ↓
    (2.48)    		 5.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ulm will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 30.4% – 86.2%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 13).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Darmstadt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Ulm: Stoll L. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) El Idrissi O. (Knee Injury) Holland F. (Knee Injury) Hornby F. (Red Card) Klefisch K. (Groin Injury) Vilhelmsson O. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury) Zimmermann C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ulm: Geyer T. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Darmstadt: Marseiler L. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ulm won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ulm 1846 - Darmstadt were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Darmstadt - Ulm 1846 1:1
    Latest results of Ulm 1846
    20.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - 1860 München 2:0
    16.03.2025 Karlsruher - Ulm 1846 0:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 Ulm 1846 - Köln 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Ulm 1846 1:1 ✺
    22.02.2025 Ulm 1846 - Elversberg 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Darmstadt
    15.03.2025 Köln - Darmstadt 2:1 ✺
    07.03.2025 Darmstadt - Karlsruher 3:0 ✺
    02.03.2025 Magdeburg - Darmstadt 4:1 ✺
    23.02.2025 Darmstadt - Schalke 04 2:0 ✺
    15.02.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Darmstadt 1:0 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke11002:113
    2SG Dynamo Dresden00000:000
    3Braunschweig00000:000
    4Dusseldorf00000:000
    5Magdeburg00000:000
    6Holstein Kiel00000:000
    7Hannover00000:000
    8Karlsruher SC00000:000
    9Bochum00000:000
    10Arminia Bielefeld00000:000
    11Nurnberg00000:000
    12Greuther Furth00000:000
    13Kaiserslautern00000:000
    14Paderborn00000:000
    15Darmstadt00000:000
    16Preussen Munster00000:000
    17Elversberg00000:000
    18Hertha Berlin10011:2-10

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          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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