Darya Kasatkina vs Hailey Baptiste – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/03/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
5	11
Double Faults
6	4
1st Serve Percentage
76%	54%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (46/68)	68% (41/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (10/22)	49% (25/51)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)	75% (12/16)
1st Return Points Won
32% (19/60)	32% (22/68)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (26/51)	55% (12/22)
Break Points Converted
25% (4/16)	44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
62% (56/90)	59% (66/111)
Return Points Won
41% (45/111)	38% (34/90)
Total Points Won
50% (101/201)	50% (100/201)
Last 10 Balls
3	7
Match Points Saved
1	0
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)	75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)	27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
48% (15/31)	52% (16/31)

Chances of winning

Darya Kasatkina
67.2%

Hailey Baptiste
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Hailey Baptiste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Darya Kasatkina - Hailey Baptiste Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.5)		2.86 ↑ (2.57)	6% (5.7%)

What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Hailey Baptiste?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Baptiste will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 12. Baptiste is ranked WTA: 98.
Kasatkina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Baptiste is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Baptiste could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Kasatkina is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Baptiste to win the game is with odds 2.88.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Kasatkina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Darya Kasatkina won against Hailey Baptiste?

Darya Kasatkina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hailey Baptiste won against Darya Kasatkina?

Hailey Baptiste has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Darya Kasatkina - Hailey Baptiste were as follows:

19.09.2024 Darya Kasatkina - Hailey Baptiste 2:0

Latest results of Darya Kasatkina

10.03.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin 2:1 ✺

17.02.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Sorana Cirstea 0:2 ✺

12.02.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

11.02.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Elina Avanesyan 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Hailey Baptiste

18.03.2025 Olga Danilovic - Hailey Baptiste 1:2 ✺

07.03.2025 Danielle Collins - Hailey Baptiste 2:1 ✺

05.03.2025 Hailey Baptiste - Whitney Osuigwe 2:0 ✺

04.03.2025 Hailey Baptiste - Leolia Jeanjean 2:0 ✺

03.03.2025 Hailey Baptiste - Ena Shibahara 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Li A.	Birrell K. (Q)	2 : 1
3	McNally C.	Masarova R. (Q)	2 : 0
4	Bye	Wang Xin. (29)
5	Zheng Q. (23)	Bye
6	Brady J. (WC)	Stephens S. (WC)	0 : 2
7	Ruse G.	Ruzic A.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Keys M. (15)
9	Svitolina E. (9)	Bye
10	Jones E. (WC)	Fruhvirtova L. (Q)	2 : 1
11	Baptiste H.	Maria T.	2 : 0
12	Bye	Samsonova L. (19)
13	Ostapenko J. (25)	Bye
14	Yastremska D.	Krueger A. (WC)	2 : 1
15	Sun L. (Q)	Townsend T. (WC)	0 : 2
16	Bye	Paolini J. (7)
17	Rybakina E. (3)	Bye
18	Tjen J.	Putintseva Y.	1 : 2
19	Sierra S.	Rakhimova K. (LL)	0 : 2
20	Bye	Kostyuk M. (27)
21	Jovic I. (18)	Bye
22	Badosa P.	Sasnovich A. (Q)	2 : 0
23	Bejlek S.	Gibson T. (Q)	0 : 2
24	Bye	Osaka N. (16)
25	Alexandrova E. (11)	Bye
26	Tagger L. (WC)	Seidel E. (LL)	2 : 1
27	Golubic V. (Q)	Stearns P.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Cristian J. (34)
29	Fernandez L. (26)	Bye
30	Arango E.	Selekhmeteva O.	1 : 2
31	Jones F.	Williams V. (WC)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Pegula J. (5)
33	Anisimova A. (6)	Bye
34	Waltert S.	Tomljanovic A.	0 : 2
35	Lys E.	Starodubtseva Y. (Q)	0 : 2
36	Bye	Bucsa C. (30)
37	Shnaider D. (20)	Bye
38	Valentova T.	Volynets K. (Q)	2 : 0
39	Sonmez Z.	Haddad Maia B.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Bencic B. (12)
41	Noskova L. (14)	Bye
42	Zhang S.	Cirstea S.	0 : 2
43	Galfi D. (Alt)	Kalieva E. (Q)	1 : 2
44	Bye	Mertens E. (21)
45	Sakkari M. (33)	Bye
46	Parks A.	Kraus S. (Q)	2 : 0
47	Semenistaja D. (LL)	Cocciaretto E.	0 : 2
48	Bye	Gauff C. (4)
49	Andreeva M. (8)	Bye
50	Kessler M.	Frech M.	2 : 1
51	Vidmanova D. (WC)	Jacquemot E.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Bouzkova M. (32)
53	Kalinskaya A. (22)	Bye
54	Zakharova A. (Q)	Bondar A.	2 : 1
55	Kenin S.	Blinkova A.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Mboko V. (10)
57	Muchova K. (13)	Bye
58	Siniakova K.	Osorio C.	0 : 2
59	Boulter K.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Tauson C. (17)
61	Eala A. (31)	Bye
62	Siegemund L.	Marcinko P.	2 : 0
63	Linette M.	Gracheva V.	2 : 1
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Li A.	2 : 0
2	McNally C.	Wang Xin. (29)	2 : 1
3	Zheng Q. (23)	Stephens S.	2 : 0
4	Ruse G.	Keys M. (15)	0 : 2
5	Svitolina E. (9)	Jones E.	2 : 0
6	Baptiste H.	Samsonova L. (19)	2 : 0
7	Ostapenko J. (25)	Yastremska D.	2 : 0
8	Townsend T.	Paolini J. (7)	1 : 2
9	Rybakina E. (3)	Putintseva Y.	2 : 0
10	Rakhimova K.	Kostyuk M. (27)	0 : 2
11	Jovic I. (18)	Badosa P.	2 : 0
12	Gibson T.	Osaka N. (16)	2 : 0
13	Alexandrova E. (11)	Tagger L.	2 : 0
14	Stearns P.	Cristian J. (34)	0 : 2
15	Fernandez L. (26)	Selekhmeteva O.	2 : 1
16	Jones F. (RET.)	Pegula J. (5)	0 : 1
17	Anisimova A. (6)	Tomljanovic A.	2 : 1
18	Starodubtseva Y.	Bucsa C. (RET.) (30)	1 : 0
19	Shnaider D. (20)	Valentova T.	2 : 0
20	Sonmez Z.	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
21	Noskova L. (14)	Cirstea S.	1 : 2
22	Kalieva E.	Mertens E. (21)	0 : 2
23	Sakkari M. (33)	Parks A.	0 : 2
24	Cocciaretto E.	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
25	Andreeva M. (8)	Kessler M.	2 : 1
26	Jacquemot E.	Bouzkova M. (32)	0 : 2
27	Kalinskaya A. (22)	Zakharova A.	1 : 2
28	Blinkova A.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2
29	Muchova K. (13)	Osorio C.	2 : 1
30	Boulter K.	Tauson C. (RET.) (17)	1 : 1
31	Eala A. (31)	Siegemund L.	2 : 1
32	Linette M.	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	McNally C.	2 : 0
2	Zheng Q. (23)	Keys M. (15)	2 : 1
3	Svitolina E. (9)	Baptiste H.	0 : 2
4	Ostapenko J. (25)	Paolini J. (7)	2 : 1
5	Rybakina E. (3)	Kostyuk M. (27)	2 : 0
6	Jovic I. (18)	Gibson T.	0 : 2
7	Alexandrova E. (11)	Cristian J. (34)	1 : 2
8	Fernandez L. (26)	Pegula J. (5)	0 : 2
9	Anisimova A. (6)	Starodubtseva Y.	2 : 0
10	Shnaider D. (20)	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
11	Cirstea S.	Mertens E. (21)	2 : 0
12	Parks A.	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
13	Andreeva M. (8)	Bouzkova M. (32)	2 : 0
14	Zakharova A.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2
15	Muchova K. (13)	Boulter K.	2 : 0
16	Eala A. (31)	Linette M.	2 : 0

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Zheng Q. (23)	2 : 0
2	Baptiste H.	Ostapenko J. (25)	2 : 0
3	Rybakina E. (3)	Gibson T.	2 : 0
4	Cristian J. (34)	Pegula J. (5)	0 : 2
5	Anisimova A. (6)	Bencic B. (12)	0 : 2
6	Cirstea S.	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
7	Andreeva M. (8)	Mboko V. (10)	1 : 2
8	Muchova K. (13)	Eala A. (31)	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Baptiste H.	2 : 0
2	Rybakina E. (3)	Pegula J. (5)	2 : 1
3	Bencic B. (12)	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
4	Mboko V. (10)	Muchova K. (13)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Rybakina E. (3)	2 : 0
2	Gauff C. (4)	Muchova K. (13)	2 : 0

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Gauff C. (4)

2 : 1