Darya Kasatkina vs Jessica Pegula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/02/2025 at 07:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats


Aces
0	0
Double Faults
3	2
1st Serve Percentage
66%	59%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (28/49)	59% (27/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (12/25)	63% (20/32)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)	75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
41% (19/46)	43% (21/49)
2nd Return Points Won
38% (12/32)	52% (13/25)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)	56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
54% (40/74)	60% (47/78)
Return Points Won
40% (31/78)	46% (34/74)
Total Points Won
47% (71/152)	53% (81/152)
Last 10 Balls
3	7
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
55% (6/11)	80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)	45% (5/11)
Total Games Won
38% (8/21)	62% (13/21)

Chances of winning

Darya Kasatkina
37.7%

Jessica Pegula
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessica Pegula's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.23)		1.53 ↓ (1.67)	4.9% (4.7%)

What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Pegula will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 56.3% – 96.7%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Navy won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Navy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Navy have a series of guest games.
Recently Lehigh have a series of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Navy won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1373:1381 (average 68.7:69.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Navy won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 643:632 (average 71.4:70.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Darya Kasatkina won against Jessica Pegula?

Darya Kasatkina has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jessica Pegula won against Darya Kasatkina?

Jessica Pegula has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula were as follows:

06.04.2024 Jessica Pegula - Darya Kasatkina 1:2

12.01.2024 Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula Kasatkina D. walkover

29.09.2023 Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula 0:2

Latest results of Darya Kasatkina

11.02.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Elina Avanesyan 2:0 ✺

10.02.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Polina Kudermetova 2:0 ✺

10.02.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Anastasia Potapova Canceled ✺

05.02.2025 Ashlyn Krueger - Darya Kasatkina 2:1 ✺

20.01.2025 Emma Navarro - Darya Kasatkina 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Jessica Pegula

11.02.2025 Elina Svitolina - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

17.01.2025 Olga Danilovic - Jessica Pegula 2:0 ✺

14.01.2025 Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

13.01.2025 Maya Joint - Jessica Pegula 0:2 ✺

11.01.2025 Jessica Pegula - Madison Keys 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Bye
2	Tjen J. (WC)	Haddad Maia B. (LL)	2 : 0
3	Kasatkina D.	Uchijima M. (Q)	2 : 1
4	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Mertens E. (16)	0 : 2
5	Noskova L. (9)	Joint M.	2 : 0
6	Siegemund L.	Gracheva V. (Q)	0 : 2
7	Sakkari M.	Sonmez Z. (WC)	2 : 0
8	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
9	Anisimova A. (3)	Bye
10	Sierra S. (LL)	Pliskova Ka.	0 : 2
11	Eala A.	Valentova T. (Q)	0 : 2
12	Cristian J.	Muchova K. (14)	0 : 2
13	Navarro E. (12)	Maria T.	2 : 0
14	Kalinskaya A.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
15	Yastremska D.	Bucsa C.	2 : 1
16	Bye	Svitolina E. (7)
17	Alexandrova E. (8)	Bye
18	Zakharova A. (Q)	Ostapenko J.	1 : 2
19	Raducanu E. (RET.)	Osorio C. (Q)	1 : 1
20	Siniakova K.	Tauson C. (11)	2 : 0
21	Samsonova L. (13)	Frech M. (LL)	1 : 2
22	Li A.	Fernandez L.	2 : 0
23	Cocciaretto E. (LL)	Jacquemot E. (WC)	2 : 0
24	Bye	Gauff C. (4)
25	Andreeva M. (5)	Bye
26	Kartal S. (Q)	Linette M.	1 : 2
27	Stearns P. (WC)	Zvonareva V. (Q)	1 : 2
28	Bouzkova M.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2
29	Shnaider D. (15)	Parks A. (Q)	1 : 2
30	Zheng Q.	Kenin S.	2 : 1
31	Wang Xin.	Arango E.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Rybakina E. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Tjen J.	2 : 0
2	Kasatkina D.	Mertens E. (16)	2 : 0
3	Noskova L. (9)	Gracheva V.	1 : 2
4	Sakkari M.	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
5	Anisimova A. (RET.) (3)	Pliskova Ka.	1 : 1
6	Valentova T.	Muchova K. (14)	0 : 2
7	Navarro E. (12)	Kalinskaya A.	1 : 2
8	Yastremska D.	Svitolina E. (7)	0 : 2
9	Alexandrova E. (8)	Ostapenko J.	0 : 2
10	Osorio C.	Siniakova K.	2 : 1
11	Frech M.	Li A.	0 : 2
12	Cocciaretto E.	Gauff C. (4)	2 : 0
13	Andreeva M. (5)	Linette M.	2 : 0
14	Zvonareva V.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2
15	Parks A.	Zheng Q.	1 : 2
16	Wang Xin.	Rybakina E. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Kasatkina D.	2 : 1
2	Gracheva V.	Sakkari M.	0 : 2
3	Pliskova Ka. (RET.)	Muchova K. (14)	0 : 0
4	Kalinskaya A.	Svitolina E. (7)	2 : 0
5	Ostapenko J.	Osorio C.	2 : 0
6	Li A.	Cocciaretto E.	1 : 2
7	Andreeva M. (5)	Mboko V. (10)	1 : 2
8	Zheng Q.	Rybakina E. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Swiatek I. (1)	Sakkari M.	1 : 2
2	Muchova K. (14)	Kalinskaya A.	2 : 0
3	Ostapenko J.	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
4	Mboko V. (10)	Rybakina E. (2)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Sakkari M.	Muchova K. (14)	1 : 2
2	Ostapenko J.	Mboko V. (10)	0 : 2

Final

1

Muchova K. (14)

Mboko V. (10)

2 : 0