Darya Kasatkina vs Katerina Siniakova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/05/2025 at 10:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Roland-Garros (Paris).

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max

Match Stats


Aces
2	1
Double Faults
8	3
1st Serve Percentage
70%	60%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (31/51)	50% (25/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (7/22)	36% (12/33)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)	58% (11/19)
Average 1st Serve Speed
148 km/h	156 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
135 km/h	137 km/h
1st Return Points Won
50% (25/50)	39% (20/51)
2nd Return Points Won
64% (21/33)	68% (15/22)
Break Points Converted
42% (8/19)	56% (5/9)
Winners
28	27
Unforced Errors
31	42
Net Points Won
78% (7/9)	70% (14/20)
Service Points Won
52% (38/73)	45% (37/83)
Return Points Won
55% (46/83)	48% (35/73)
Total Points Won
54% (84/156)	46% (72/156)
Last 10 Balls
6	4
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
58% (7/12)	33% (4/12)
Return Games Won
67% (8/12)	42% (5/12)
Total Games Won
63% (15/24)	38% (9/24)

Chances of winning

Darya Kasatkina
67%

Katerina Siniakova
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Katerina Siniakova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Darya Kasatkina - Katerina Siniakova Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)		2.88 ↓ (2.95)	4.9% (5.3%)

What is the prediction for Darya Kasatkina - Katerina Siniakova?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Siniakova will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Siniakova (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 17. Siniakova is ranked WTA: 62.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasatkina won 3.
Both players are struggling and far from their best.
Siniakova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Kasatkina might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kasatkina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Darya Kasatkina won against Katerina Siniakova?

Darya Kasatkina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Katerina Siniakova won against Darya Kasatkina?

Katerina Siniakova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Darya Kasatkina - Katerina Siniakova were as follows:

16.10.2024 Darya Kasatkina - Katerina Siniakova 2:1

Latest results of Darya Kasatkina

19.05.2025 Emma Raducanu - Darya Kasatkina 2:0 ✺

09.05.2025 Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina 2:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Ekaterina Alexandrova - Darya Kasatkina 2:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Alycia Parks - Darya Kasatkina 0:2 ✺

03.04.2025 Darya Kasatkina - Sofia Kenin 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Katerina Siniakova

20.05.2025 Katerina Siniakova - Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov 1:2 ✺

14.05.2025 Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Katerina Siniakova Sasnovich A. walkover ✺

13.05.2025 Jenny Lim - Katerina Siniakova 0:2 ✺

07.05.2025 Katerina Siniakova - Olga Danilovic 1:2 ✺

01.05.2025 Katerina Siniakova - Rebeka Masarova 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 0
2	Stefanini L. (Q)	Teichmann J.	0 : 2
3	Collins D.	Burrage J.	2 : 0
4	Danilovic O.	Fernandez L. (27)	2 : 0
5	Tauson C. (22)	Linette M.	2 : 1
6	Rus A.	Osorio C.	2 : 1
7	Kvitova P.	Golubic V.	1 : 2
8	Stojanovic N. (RET.) (Q)	Anisimova A. (16)	0 : 1
9	Shnaider D. (11)	Sobolieva A. (Q)	2 : 0
10	Yastremska D.	Aiava D. (WC)	2 : 0
11	Romero Gormaz L. (Q)	Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (WC)	2 : 0
12	Sherif M.	Samsonova L. (19)	0 : 2
13	Stearns P. (28)	Lys E.	0 : 2
14	Mboko V. (Q)	Sun L.	2 : 0
15	Eala A.	Arango E.	1 : 2
16	Pavlyuchenkova A.	Zheng Q. (8)	0 : 2
17	Paolini J. (4)	Yuan Y.	2 : 1
18	Tomljanovic A.	Joint M.	2 : 0
19	Korpatsch T. (Q)	Starodubtseva Y. (LL)	1 : 2
20	Potapova A.	Noskova L. (29)	2 : 1
21	Vekic D. (18)	Blinkova A.	2 : 1
22	Garcia C.	Pera B.	0 : 2
23	Siegemund L.	Bondar A.	0 : 2
24	Sonmez Z.	Svitolina E. (13)	0 : 2
25	Rybakina E. (12)	Riera J. (Q)	2 : 1
26	Jovic I. (WC)	Zarazua R.	2 : 1
27	Dolehide C.	Minnen G.	2 : 1
28	Kudermetova P.	Ostapenko J. (21)	1 : 2
29	Kostyuk M. (26)	Bejlek S. (Q)	0 : 2
30	Cristian J.	Birrell K.	2 : 0
31	Raducanu E.	Wang Xin.	2 : 1
32	Sramkova R.	Swiatek I. (5)	0 : 2
33	Andreeva M. (6)	Bucsa C.	2 : 0
34	Lamens S.	Krueger A.	0 : 2
35	Volynets K.	Garland J. (Q)	1 : 2
36	Sierra S. (Q)	Putintseva Y. (32)	0 : 2
37	Kasatkina D. (17)	Siniakova K.	2 : 1
38	Jeanjean L. (WC)	Begu I. (RET.)	1 : 1
39	Ruse G.	Kessler M.	2 : 0
40	Osaka N.	Badosa P. (10)	1 : 2
41	Muchova K. (14)	Parks A.	1 : 2
42	Jacquemot E. (WC)	Sakkari M.	2 : 0
43	Avanesyan E.	Kalinina A.	0 : 2
44	Boisson L. (WC)	Mertens E. (24)	2 : 1
45	Frech M. (25)	Jabeur O.	2 : 0
46	Selekhmeteva O. (Q)	Vondrousova M.	0 : 2
47	Carle M. L. (Q)	Li A.	0 : 2
48	Todoni A. A.	Pegula J. (3)	0 : 2
49	Keys M. (7)	Saville D. (Q)	2 : 0
50	Monnet C. (Q)	Boulter K.	1 : 2
51	Wickmayer Y.	Azarenka V.	0 : 2
52	Gracheva V.	Kenin S. (31)	0 : 2
53	Haddad Maia B. (23)	Baptiste H.	1 : 2
54	Hibino N. (Q)	Uchijima M.	2 : 0
55	Parry D. (WC)	Montgomery R.	0 : 2
56	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Navarro E. (9)	2 : 0
57	Krejcikova B. (15)	Maria T.	2 : 0
58	Kudermetova V.	Tomova V.	2 : 0
59	Townsend T. (LL)	Cocciaretto E.	0 : 2
60	Bronzetti L.	Alexandrova E. (20)	0 : 2
61	Kalinskaya A. (30)	Bouzkova M.	0 : 2
62	Kartal S.	Andreeva E.	2 : 0
63	Paquet C. (WC)	Valentova T. (Q)	1 : 2
64	Gadecki O.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Teichmann J.	2 : 0
2	Collins D.	Danilovic O.	1 : 2
3	Tauson C. (22)	Rus A.	2 : 0
4	Golubic V.	Anisimova A. (16)	0 : 2
5	Shnaider D. (11)	Yastremska D.	0 : 2
6	Romero Gormaz L.	Samsonova L. (19)	0 : 2
7	Lys E.	Mboko V.	0 : 2
8	Arango E.	Zheng Q. (8)	0 : 2
9	Paolini J. (4)	Tomljanovic A.	2 : 0
10	Starodubtseva Y.	Potapova A.	2 : 0
11	Vekic D. (18)	Pera B.	1 : 2
12	Bondar A.	Svitolina E. (13)	0 : 2
13	Rybakina E. (12)	Jovic I.	2 : 0
14	Dolehide C.	Ostapenko J. (21)	1 : 2
15	Bejlek S.	Cristian J.	1 : 2
16	Raducanu E.	Swiatek I. (5)	0 : 2
17	Andreeva M. (6)	Krueger A.	2 : 0
18	Garland J.	Putintseva Y. (32)	0 : 2
19	Kasatkina D. (17)	Jeanjean L.	2 : 0
20	Ruse G.	Badosa P. (10)	1 : 2
21	Parks A.	Jacquemot E.	1 : 2
22	Kalinina A.	Boisson L.	0 : 2
23	Frech M. (25)	Vondrousova M.	1 : 2
24	Li A.	Pegula J. (3)	0 : 2
25	Keys M. (7)	Boulter K.	2 : 0
26	Azarenka V.	Kenin S. (31)	0 : 2
27	Baptiste H.	Hibino N.	2 : 0
28	Montgomery R.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	1 : 2
29	Krejcikova B. (15)	Kudermetova V.	0 : 2
30	Cocciaretto E.	Alexandrova E. (20)	0 : 2
31	Bouzkova M.	Kartal S.	2 : 0
32	Valentova T.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Danilovic O.	2 : 0
2	Tauson C. (22)	Anisimova A. (16)	0 : 2
3	Yastremska D.	Samsonova L. (19)	0 : 2
4	Mboko V.	Zheng Q. (8)	0 : 2
5	Paolini J. (4)	Starodubtseva Y.	2 : 0
6	Pera B.	Svitolina E. (13)	0 : 2
7	Rybakina E. (12)	Ostapenko J. (21)	2 : 0
8	Cristian J.	Swiatek I. (5)	0 : 2
9	Andreeva M. (6)	Putintseva Y. (32)	2 : 0
10	Kasatkina D. (17)	Badosa P. (10)	2 : 0
11	Jacquemot E.	Boisson L.	1 : 2
12	Vondrousova M.	Pegula J. (3)	1 : 2
13	Keys M. (7)	Kenin S. (31)	2 : 1
14	Baptiste H.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	2 : 0
15	Kudermetova V.	Alexandrova E. (20)	0 : 2
16	Bouzkova M.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Anisimova A. (16)	2 : 0
2	Samsonova L. (19)	Zheng Q. (8)	1 : 2
3	Paolini J. (4)	Svitolina E. (13)	1 : 2
4	Rybakina E. (12)	Swiatek I. (5)	1 : 2
5	Andreeva M. (6)	Kasatkina D. (17)	2 : 0
6	Boisson L.	Pegula J. (3)	2 : 1
7	Keys M. (7)	Baptiste H.	2 : 0
8	Alexandrova E. (20)	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Zheng Q. (8)	2 : 0
2	Svitolina E. (13)	Swiatek I. (5)	0 : 2
3	Andreeva M. (6)	Boisson L.	0 : 2
4	Keys M. (7)	Gauff C. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Swiatek I. (5)	2 : 1
2	Boisson L.	Gauff C. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Gauff C. (2)

1 : 2